inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 87 Excitement4.8 [880] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +18.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers 101 Comeback1.9 [898] LVPTony Parker (SAS): -23.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bruce Bowen0.040,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.010.01662%0.0400.001100%0.00
Tim Duncan0.030,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.011454%0.061-0.02771%0.01
Beno Udrih0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.100.000.074109%0.042-0.01333%-0.00
Nick Van Exel0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.00550%0.0100.0000%0.00
Brent Barry0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02360%0.0000.00450%-0.03
Fabricio Oberto0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,00.050.000.05470%-0.0000.00250%-0.00
Sean Marks-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Manu Ginobili-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.031148%0.033-0.06367%-0.01
Nazr Mohammed-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00467%0.063-0.10450%-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.01560%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Tony Parker-0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.19-0.10-0.05729%-0.027-0.2200%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.180.070.063359%0.242-0.05862%-0.00
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.03-0.00383%0.0700.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.01-0.00-0.031944%0.0100.001100%0.01
Stephen Graham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.03-0.010.02757%0.0000.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.01-0.011042%0.0000.00450%-0.03
Mike Wilks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Martynas Andriuskevicius00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02540%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00530%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.000.00743%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.72.526.316.030.03.027.2129.8
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +11.2%
SAS -0.9%
CLE +10.9%
CLE +30.3%
SAS -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCLENBASASCLENBA
this game15.817.915.6101.2118.8104.4
season16.316.2106.0105.6
opponent15.515.6103.999.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.215.715.216.015.8
CLE18.917.017.518.217.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Fabricio Oberto12130.06-0.560.620.002-161813.816.1-2.2916.018.2-2.24
Beno Udrih1616-0.03-0.470.44-0.061-151614.316.1-1.8319.317.61.75
Rasho Nesterovic3734-0.14-0.360.23-0.05-3-11816.415.31.1119.516.82.68
Bruce Bowen5555-0.14-0.360.22-0.140-141415.915.60.3017.917.9-0.01
Tim Duncan6365-0.18-0.320.15-0.211-151615.317.1-1.7519.114.14.96
Tony Parker5656-0.22-0.280.07-0.04-6-8216.414.61.8019.015.83.19
Manu Ginobili5150-0.22-0.280.07-0.01-7-7015.715.9-0.1418.916.52.39
Michael Finley3131-0.25-0.25-0.010.07-11-3-815.516.0-0.5017.618.1-0.49
Nick Van Exel3432-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.05-8-6-216.015.70.2817.118.4-1.33
Sean Marks1815-0.32-0.18-0.150.15-162-1818.415.13.3413.418.9-5.46
Brent Barry2626-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.07-11-3-815.216.1-0.8715.419.0-3.62
Nazr Mohammed3132-0.39-0.11-0.29-0.04-12-2-1015.416.0-0.6015.719.2-3.49

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Graham50480.60-0.100.700.0718-42217.019.2-2.2215.016.9-1.91
Damon Jones45450.490.010.49-0.0920-62617.018.8-1.8115.616.0-0.42
LeBron James69720.410.090.310.051221018.415.62.8016.114.41.64
Donyell Marshall32320.350.150.20-0.031311217.118.4-1.3316.015.70.36
Drew Gooden54550.270.230.040.0095417.219.1-1.9416.115.20.90
Anderson Varejao25240.220.28-0.060.28-216-1816.818.3-1.5513.816.6-2.79
Eric Snow63640.210.29-0.080.0368-218.217.11.0816.214.51.75
Zydrunas Ilgauskas51510.130.37-0.24-0.0568-218.616.81.7816.215.21.02
Mike Wilks440.000.50-0.500.06-216-1819.517.81.6912.016.0-3.99
Martynas Andriuskevicius330.000.50-0.500.03-115-1620.017.82.1812.315.9-3.59
Sasha Pavlovic2932-0.180.68-0.850.09-923-3220.416.63.8216.715.31.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 84, SEA 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,195.1%
MIN 94, PHX 1110.5,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.69,0.77,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.48,0.59,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.69,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,194.4%
DET 82, TOR 890.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.98,194.4%