NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	84		Excitement	3.6 [1110]		MVP	Metta World Peace (SAC): +13.1%
Sacramento Kings	109		Comeback	1.1 [1177]		LVP	Brad Miller (SAC): -12.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marvin Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	9	46%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Esteban Batista	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	55%	0.02	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Tony Delk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.05	9	59%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Salim Stoudamire	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	10	55%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.01	-0.07	13	46%	0.06	6	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	11	36%	-0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.02	11	37%	-0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.01	-0.02	17	54%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.01	13	65%	0.11	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	12	59%	0.07	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brian Skinner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Sampson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.02	0.04	11	57%	0.04	3	-0.05	1	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	0.05	7	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	12	60%	0.05	6	-0.17	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	29.2	15.8	25.4	2.4	29.4	130.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.4%

SAC +11.6%

SAC +13.4%

ATL -9.8%

ATL -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SAC	NBA	ATL	SAC	NBA
this game	14.8	14.9	15.6	86.6	112.4	104.4
season	15.6	15.3		103.9	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.8	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.1	16.2	18.0	12.5	14.8
SAC	16.4	13.2	14.0	15.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Esteban Batista	39	40	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.07	-2	-23	21	12.5	16.4	-3.84	15.1	14.7	0.46
Tony Delk	15	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-26	27	14.8	14.8	-0.04	12.9	15.2	-2.37
Royal Ivey	32	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.20	-12	-13	1	14.2	15.2	-1.01	15.1	14.7	0.31
Josh Childress	65	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.25	-15	-10	-5	14.2	16.1	-1.92	15.2	14.3	0.86
Salim Stoudamire	49	47	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.14	-12	-13	1	14.6	15.1	-0.57	15.4	14.4	1.02
Marvin Williams	62	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.19	-15	-10	-5	13.9	16.5	-2.67	15.0	14.6	0.32
Josh Smith	45	45	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.12	-16	-9	-7	15.7	14.1	1.55	14.5	15.2	-0.73
Al Harrington	52	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-10	-5	16.0	13.5	2.51	14.6	15.2	-0.56
Joe Johnson	74	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	-10	-5	15.2	13.7	1.55	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Zaza Pachulia	52	51	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.19	-24	-1	-23	16.8	12.6	4.21	15.0	14.7	0.26

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	77	77	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.31	31	-6	37	14.5	16.1	-1.57	15.8	11.0	4.83
Brad Miller	63	62	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.14	24	1	23	14.5	15.5	-0.99	16.4	12.1	4.26
Kevin Martin	72	72	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	7	11	15.2	13.8	1.42	15.7	12.3	3.44
Mike Bibby	70	69	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	13	-1	14.4	15.9	-1.48	15.1	14.2	0.82
Kenny Thomas	72	72	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	13	-1	14.9	14.8	0.08	14.9	14.6	0.32
Francisco Garcia	57	57	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.08	7	18	-11	14.9	14.8	0.14	13.6	16.6	-2.96
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	43	43	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	21	-17	14.7	15.0	-0.24	14.5	15.1	-0.66
Brian Skinner	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.21	7	18	-11	16.3	14.7	1.61	10.4	15.3	-4.94
Jamal Sampson	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	16.8	14.7	2.11	9.0	15.3	-6.29
Jason Hart	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	21	-17	16.2	14.7	1.51	9.7	15.4	-5.70
Ronnie Price	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	22	-19	16.8	14.7	2.11	9.0	15.3	-6.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.7,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%
DAL 78, SAS 94	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DET 79, NJN 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.71,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%