NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	79		Excitement	6.5 [517]		MVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): +10.2%
Chicago Bulls	90		Comeback	1.0 [1225]		LVP	Darius Songaila (CHI): -19.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Etan Thomas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	2	43%	0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.04
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Ruffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.03	-0.05	17	49%	0.09	4	-0.13	13	69%	-0.02
Jared Jeffries	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	23	44%	0.03	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Brendan Haywood	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.02	-0.05	0.04	10	55%	-0.00	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	-0.18	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.05	-0.04	21	29%	-0.09	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.07	-0.02	22	52%	0.20	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.02
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	13	48%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Malik Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
James Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.01	0.05	4	63%	0.02	1	-0.03	11	73%	-0.01
Othella Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	11	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.01
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	11	30%	-0.13	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	26.1	15.4	27.4	1.7	38.2	132.4
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -14.0%

CHI +20.9%

CHI +16.6%

CHI +26.2%

CHI +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHI	NBA	WAS	CHI	NBA
this game	16.9	15.9	15.6	89.8	102.3	104.4
season	15.1	14.4		107.4	102.6
opponent	16.1	15.6		102.1	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	19.9	15.8	16.6	15.4	16.9
CHI	13.8	16.2	16.9	16.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	10	9	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.09	6	-17	23	16.4	16.9	-0.54	12.1	16.3	-4.17
Etan Thomas	13	13	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.08	4	-15	19	16.8	16.9	-0.12	19.1	15.3	3.78
Andray Blatche	6	5	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-11	11	14.8	17.0	-2.19	17.8	15.7	2.07
Antonio Daniels	62	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.28	4	-15	19	17.2	16.0	1.19	17.0	13.1	3.94
Michael Ruffin	10	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-6	1	14.5	17.2	-2.68	17.8	15.6	2.20
Antawn Jamison	77	78	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.15	-5	-6	1	17.1	15.0	2.14	15.4	19.1	-3.66
Jared Jeffries	26	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.10	-15	4	-19	16.0	17.2	-1.19	13.1	17.0	-3.94
Gilbert Arenas	88	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	0	-11	16.9	0.0	16.87	15.9	0.0	15.85
Caron Butler	83	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.17	-12	1	-13	17.1	13.8	3.26	15.9	15.2	0.69
Brendan Haywood	65	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.01	-21	10	-31	17.0	16.6	0.36	15.7	16.2	-0.50

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Gordon	62	61	0.69	-0.19	0.89	-0.01	24	-13	37	15.5	16.8	-1.36	17.8	14.8	2.97
Tyson Chandler	66	65	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.04	15	-4	19	15.6	16.7	-1.11	17.7	14.7	3.01
Darius Songaila	45	46	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	5	1	15.1	16.6	-1.52	16.2	17.6	-1.33
Kirk Hinrich	65	65	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	2	7	15.8	16.0	-0.14	16.4	18.1	-1.64
Luol Deng	64	64	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.05	8	3	5	16.2	15.0	1.23	16.8	17.2	-0.40
Othella Harrington	28	29	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.04	10	1	9	14.6	16.4	-1.83	18.7	16.0	2.66
James Thomas	5	5	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.07	-1	12	-13	12.4	16.1	-3.66	13.8	17.1	-3.26
Andres Nocioni	37	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.05	-2	13	-15	17.0	15.0	1.98	16.8	16.9	-0.12
Malik Allen	20	20	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	16	-21	17.3	15.4	1.87	14.0	17.7	-3.66
Chris Duhon	48	49	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.13	-9	20	-29	16.6	14.9	1.75	16.5	17.4	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.82,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.77,0.96,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.77,0.84,0.84,0.71,0.78,0.95,0.97,0.97,1,1	93.5%
ORL 124, OKC 125	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	93.4%
CHI 100, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.76,0.92,1	93.3%