NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	96		Excitement	7.6 [324]		MVP	Jason Richardson (GSW): +25.9%
Golden State Warriors	93		Comeback	30.6 [18]		LVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): -32.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Ewing	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.01	5	83%	0.21	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.04
Elton Brand	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	18	65%	0.17	1	-0.03	7	86%	-0.03
Sam Cassell	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.12,-0.09,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	-0.04	0.13	0.00	18	48%	0.22	3	-0.14	14	79%	0.08
Cuttino Mobley	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.03	0.02	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Zeljko Rebraca	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Kaman	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	7	33%	-0.08	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.01,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.18	0.12	0.04	20	67%	0.30	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Troy Murphy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	16	47%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.05,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	14	38%	-0.13	3	-0.05	6	50%	-0.08
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.07,-0.14,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.14	-0.20	-0.01	13	31%	-0.16	3	-0.17	6	33%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.7	32.2	17.7	25.0	2.4	37.2	139.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +18.1%

LAC +23.9%

GSW -38.8%

LAC +44.3%

LAC +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	15.6	16.1	15.6	105.5	102.2	104.4
season	15.2	14.8		103.9	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.0	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.9	17.5	14.3	14.8	15.6
GSW	14.7	14.6	17.0	18.0	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Ewing	34	32	1.04	-0.54	1.58	0.39	22	-19	41	13.4	16.9	-3.44	18.6	14.7	3.87
Shaun Livingston	39	37	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	-9	21	14.9	16.1	-1.17	17.4	15.2	2.18
Chris Kaman	66	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.61	-6	9	-15	16.0	14.4	1.65	16.0	16.2	-0.26
Cuttino Mobley	76	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.58	-8	11	-19	15.8	14.3	1.51	15.7	18.4	-2.72
Sam Cassell	70	73	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.13	2	1	1	15.8	14.9	0.96	15.7	17.3	-1.59
Zeljko Rebraca	6	5	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	-2	7	12.0	15.8	-3.85	18.2	15.9	2.27
Elton Brand	74	76	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	5	-7	15.4	16.3	-0.86	15.8	17.3	-1.53
Chris Wilcox	34	32	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.17	7	-4	11	15.8	15.5	0.27	17.2	15.4	1.80
James Singleton	1	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.07	2	1	1	28.0	15.5	12.54	4.0	16.3	-12.33
Quinton Ross	55	53	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.42	-19	22	-41	16.5	14.2	2.31	14.6	18.0	-3.38

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	58	57	0.31	-0.81	1.11	-0.07	13	-16	29	14.8	18.3	-3.53	16.3	14.4	1.98
Zarko Cabarkapa	14	15	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.07	-5	2	-7	17.4	15.8	1.54	14.3	15.8	-1.51
Ike Diogu	5	6	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	2	-7	18.2	15.9	2.27	12.0	15.8	-3.85
Mickael Pietrus	19	20	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.13	-9	6	-15	17.5	15.7	1.86	15.6	15.6	0.01
Andris Biedrins	27	27	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	6	-15	19.0	14.8	4.19	15.4	15.7	-0.32
Jason Richardson	75	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.60	9	-12	21	15.6	18.2	-2.59	16.3	12.1	4.21
Troy Murphy	77	76	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.48	2	-5	7	15.8	17.4	-1.54	15.8	14.3	1.51
Derek Fisher	32	32	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	12	-27	16.4	15.9	0.54	14.4	16.3	-1.88
Mike Dunleavy	67	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.61	5	-8	13	15.9	16.5	-0.60	15.3	16.3	-1.00
Baron Davis	81	80	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.47	-1	-2	1	15.9	17.1	-1.17	15.4	16.8	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.67,0.69,0.37,0.15,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 105, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.75,0.83,0.62,0.28,0.1,0.09,0	90.0%
CHA 83, BOS 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.7,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.85,0.72,0.53,0.21,0.31,0.42,0	90.0%
DET 106, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.53,0.31,0.55,0.14,0.15,0	90.0%