NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	94		Excitement	6.0 [620]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +19.9%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	4.5 [548]		LVP	Jamaal Tinsley (IND): -18.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.03	0.01	13	65%	0.17	2	-0.06	11	55%	-0.10
Jeff Foster	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	7	86%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.02	0.05	16	58%	0.10	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Eddie Gill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	71%	0.09	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	11	18%	-0.12	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.14	0.00	20	64%	0.32	4	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	5	93%	0.19	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.00	10	68%	0.12	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	15	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.05
Salim Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	4	10%	-0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	29.5	16.5	26.3	2.7	38.0	139.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +24.5%

ATL +14.7%

IND -4.1%

ATL +12.5%

ATL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ATL	NBA	IND	ATL	NBA
this game	16.4	14.7	15.6	102.2	111.8	104.4
season	16.0	15.6		102.3	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		109.3	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.6	17.3	17.9	16.1	16.4
ATL	13.6	16.1	13.4	15.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Gill	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	12.5	16.5	-4.03	7.5	14.9	-7.36
Danny Granger	20	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-13	16	14.5	17.0	-2.42	13.8	14.9	-1.08
Anthony Johnson	29	29	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.00	-3	-7	4	16.3	16.5	-0.15	14.4	14.8	-0.36
David Harrison	16	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-4	-2	16.4	16.5	-0.09	13.3	15.0	-1.67
Sarunas Jasikevicius	42	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-15	20	16.0	16.8	-0.78	13.5	15.8	-2.36
Austin Croshere	42	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-11	12	15.1	17.5	-2.40	13.7	15.6	-1.89
Jermaine O'Neal	70	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.12	-3	-7	4	17.0	14.6	2.38	16.1	10.3	5.84
Jamaal Tinsley	55	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	2	-14	16.2	16.8	-0.66	15.1	14.1	0.96
Fred Jones	60	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.12	-10	0	-10	16.9	15.6	1.31	15.1	13.9	1.22
Jeff Foster	50	49	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	4	-18	17.6	15.1	2.44	14.8	14.5	0.29
Stephen Jackson	74	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.13	-12	2	-14	16.6	15.7	0.97	14.7	14.5	0.28

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	61	63	0.79	-0.29	1.09	0.09	24	-14	38	15.5	13.2	2.21	17.9	13.3	4.58
Tyronn Lue	64	62	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-4	18	14.4	15.4	-1.04	16.0	17.5	-1.52
Joe Johnson	87	86	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-6	22	14.6	16.0	-1.39	16.8	11.8	4.93
Josh Childress	66	63	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.28	6	4	2	15.2	13.4	1.82	16.2	17.1	-0.91
Al Harrington	71	71	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.07	10	0	10	15.5	12.3	3.18	17.1	14.2	2.86
Marvin Williams	39	38	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	13	-16	13.1	15.8	-2.71	15.3	17.2	-1.92
Royal Ivey	13	13	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	12	-14	14.8	14.7	0.08	15.6	16.6	-0.97
Josh Smith	42	41	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	17	-24	13.0	16.1	-3.18	14.6	17.9	-3.36
Salim Stoudamire	22	23	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.00	-8	18	-26	16.0	14.3	1.64	17.0	16.2	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.36,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.37,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 89, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.2%
WAS 85, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.42,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.8%
GSW 95, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.76,0.67,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1	92.3%