inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets 99 Excitement4.7 [889] MVPChris Paul (NOK): +11.5%
Washington Wizards 110 Comeback1.5 [979] LVPSpeedy Claxton (NOK): -10.0%


New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Paul0.120,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.180.000.071772%0.131-0.025100%0.03
Rasual Butler0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.04-0.00-0.031060%0.071-0.0000%0.00
David West0.060,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.100.000.04881%0.112-0.045100%0.02
Jackson Vroman0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.040.000.02183%0.0200.00475%0.00
J.R. Smith0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Desmond Mason-0.070,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.010.011135%-0.0700.00475%-0.00
Kirk Snyder-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.02-0.020.041055%0.003-0.072100%0.01
P.J. Brown-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.03-0.01942%-0.013-0.0810%-0.02
Speedy Claxton-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.11-0.00-0.011020%-0.081-0.0200%0.00

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gilbert Arenas0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.140.030.072456%0.0900.001182%0.01
Jared Jeffries0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.060.02-0.00586%0.122-0.04475%0.00
Antawn Jamison0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.021853%0.102-0.052100%0.01
Antonio Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.00-0.02948%0.0400.00560%-0.01
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.020.01-0.03667%0.083-0.0500%0.00
Michael Ruffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.021100%0.022-0.0200%0.00
Andray Blatche00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Donell Taylor00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Caron Butler0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.020.032057%0.055-0.112100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.12.527.415.821.61.829.4121.6
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +28.7%
WAS +1.3%
WAS +22.0%
NOK -3.3%
WAS +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOKWASNBANOKWASNBA
this game15.215.615.6106.5117.0104.4
season16.315.1101.2107.4
opponent15.615.3105.5104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NOK13.714.717.515.515.2
WAS14.016.015.317.215.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans/Oklahoma City Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler48460.01-0.510.52-0.176-172314.715.8-1.0516.714.52.22
J.R. Smith2119-0.01-0.490.47-0.165-162114.615.4-0.8617.415.12.33
Jackson Vroman2018-0.03-0.470.44-0.216-172313.815.6-1.7717.115.21.91
Kirk Snyder4648-0.22-0.280.07-0.220-111114.515.9-1.3715.315.8-0.51
Chris Andersen2528-0.22-0.280.06-0.10-4-7314.815.4-0.6515.715.50.27
P.J. Brown6463-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.04-8-3-515.714.11.6015.316.0-0.70
Speedy Claxton4343-0.29-0.21-0.090.06-121-1316.014.61.4615.615.50.03
Desmond Mason6366-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.09-8-3-515.315.00.3015.216.5-1.38
Chris Paul7678-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.04-154-1915.414.50.8715.317.1-1.81
David West5961-0.650.15-0.800.08-2514-3915.714.51.2114.916.9-2.03

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler88860.57-0.070.640.1016-52115.319.3-4.0315.314.11.18
Antawn Jamison82810.52-0.020.54-0.0118-72515.416.7-1.3615.612.92.66
Gilbert Arenas91900.500.000.490.171101115.323.7-8.3715.49.75.76
Brendan Haywood62600.470.030.430.0813-21515.416.0-0.6115.714.41.35
Jared Jeffries65650.310.190.120.0492715.415.9-0.5314.916.1-1.19
Michael Ruffin31300.070.43-0.360.13-213-1515.815.50.3115.415.20.19
Antonio Daniels46470.070.43-0.360.21-516-2117.014.22.8614.416.1-1.64
Donell Taylor220.000.50-0.500.03-112-1317.515.51.989.015.4-6.37
Andray Blatche340.000.50-0.500.12-415-1918.015.52.5212.515.4-2.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.94,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 97, LAL 1090.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,195.3%
DET 81, NOH 920.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,194.7%
HOU 90, UTA 1050.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.66,0.69,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%