NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	86		Excitement	7.5 [334]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (CHA): +23.4%
Toronto Raptors	95		Comeback	4.7 [558]		LVP	Keith Bogans (CHA): -20.6%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.05	0.00	8	106%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	8	53%	0.13	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.03
Kevin Burleson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	3	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	68%	0.07	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Bernard Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Primoz Brezec	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	15	44%	0.02	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Raymond Felton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	10	40%	0.07	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	5	8%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.2,-0.21	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	10	30%	-0.15	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.16	0.01	14	63%	0.32	3	-0.10	10	100%	0.14
Chris Bosh	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.08	0.00	17	66%	0.33	3	-0.13	10	90%	0.04
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.01,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.03	0.13	-0.02	13	62%	0.33	4	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Joey Graham	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Rafael Araujo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	6	64%	0.07	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.12	0.00	7	50%	-0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	25.0	15.6	25.2	1.8	36.0	130.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +17.2%

TOR +21.2%

TOR +22.3%

CHA -19.1%

TOR +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.6	93.5	102.2	104.4
season	14.8	15.6		100.5	107.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		110.5	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	12.0	16.7	19.0	13.7	15.2
TOR	18.5	16.0	15.3	14.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Burleson	26	24	0.32	-0.82	1.15	0.06	9	-18	27	14.5	15.5	-1.00	15.7	16.0	-0.33
Bernard Robinson	49	48	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.13	-2	-7	5	15.0	15.4	-0.42	15.7	16.1	-0.42
Brevin Knight	24	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-5	1	14.3	15.5	-1.25	18.3	15.1	3.26
Matt Carroll	30	31	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-3	-3	16.8	14.5	2.35	14.7	16.5	-1.76
Jumaine Jones	60	63	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.30	1	-10	11	15.4	14.9	0.48	16.6	14.6	1.99
Keith Bogans	59	57	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	14.8	15.9	-1.03	14.9	17.4	-2.50
Primoz Brezec	75	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.38	-7	-2	-5	15.3	14.8	0.56	16.7	12.6	4.07
Gerald Wallace	81	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.18	-14	5	-19	15.5	13.5	2.00	15.5	18.8	-3.29
Raymond Felton	56	60	-0.79	0.29	-1.07	-0.32	-16	7	-23	15.0	15.6	-0.56	15.6	16.4	-0.74

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Bosh	71	69	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.26	17	-8	25	16.0	15.5	0.48	15.0	16.0	-1.04
Morris Peterson	87	86	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.31	12	-3	15	15.9	16.8	-0.98	15.3	13.8	1.48
Jalen Rose	50	50	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-2	13	14.6	17.5	-2.89	15.5	14.9	0.66
Matt Bonner	61	59	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-2	13	15.1	17.5	-2.37	15.4	14.9	0.53
Mike James	82	79	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.25	7	2	5	16.1	14.3	1.86	15.0	16.4	-1.36
Rafael Araujo	25	25	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	3	3	16.7	15.6	1.05	15.6	15.1	0.53
Joey Graham	44	43	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	13	-17	17.1	14.9	2.19	14.6	15.8	-1.15
Jose Calderon	17	19	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.09	-1	10	-11	15.2	16.1	-0.90	15.6	15.1	0.46
Charlie Villanueva	28	30	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.04	-14	23	-37	17.3	15.3	1.96	15.5	15.1	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.5,0.66,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.55,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 74, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.91,1	91.4%
MEM 102, MIN 109	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.27,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.55,0.57,0.98,1	91.2%
ATL 94, MIA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.56,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.28,0.36,0.35,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.32,0.92,1	90.9%