NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	73		Excitement	4.9 [859]		MVP	DeShawn Stevenson (ORL): +6.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	90		Comeback	2.4 [802]		LVP	Steve Francis (ORL): -16.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	10	65%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	61%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	7	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	0.01
Mario Kasun	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	5	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	16	49%	0.03	5	-0.15	5	80%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.21	-0.03	-0.07	16	29%	-0.03	6	-0.13	3	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	6	54%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	8	71%	0.10	2	-0.06	5	60%	-0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.02	0.04	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Boniface N'Dong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	6	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Yaroslav Korolev	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	42%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.06
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	18	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	10	80%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.01	6	44%	-0.05	4	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.6	27.0	16.6	33.8	2.0	29.2	137.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +2.1%

ORL -0.1%

LAC +16.4%

LAC +25.4%

LAC +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	LAC	NBA	ORL	LAC	NBA
this game	17.7	15.8	15.6	84.9	104.7	104.4
season	16.4	15.2		104.4	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.1	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.8	16.7	19.2	18.0	17.7
LAC	16.7	16.0	13.0	18.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	2	2	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-17	17	13.0	17.8	-4.79	10.5	15.9	-5.44
Dwight Howard	52	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.02	-2	-15	13	17.3	18.3	-0.98	17.2	13.7	3.49
Bo Outlaw	15	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-15	13	14.9	18.3	-3.32	19.2	15.1	4.10
Kelvin Cato	8	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-15	13	18.2	17.6	0.63	14.2	16.0	-1.72
Mario Kasun	7	7	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-11	5	14.0	18.0	-4.00	17.6	15.7	1.91
Jameer Nelson	74	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-11	5	18.1	14.7	3.40	15.8	15.9	-0.11
Pat Garrity	35	35	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-6	-5	19.2	16.6	2.52	15.9	15.8	0.12
Tony Battie	51	51	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-8	-1	18.4	16.7	1.67	14.0	18.5	-4.55
Hedo Turkoglu	50	50	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	0	-17	17.0	18.6	-1.66	16.8	14.4	2.40
Steve Francis	67	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.06	-17	0	-17	17.5	18.4	-0.89	15.8	15.8	0.03
DeShawn Stevenson	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.08	-13	-4	-9	17.9	16.6	1.28	14.8	19.9	-5.14

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	45	45	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.10	22	-5	27	15.2	16.5	-1.38	18.2	17.1	1.15
Chris Kaman	52	54	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.06	20	-3	23	15.1	16.9	-1.86	18.5	16.3	2.22
Quinton Ross	40	40	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.06	19	-2	21	16.1	15.5	0.63	17.7	17.7	0.00
Shaun Livingston	50	51	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	0	17	16.8	14.4	2.40	17.5	18.0	-0.55
Cuttino Mobley	77	78	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	9	-1	15.5	18.2	-2.69	17.9	15.6	2.26
James Singleton	38	36	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	6	5	15.5	16.0	-0.52	18.5	17.1	1.37
Yaroslav Korolev	16	15	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.17	14	3	11	16.9	15.6	1.38	15.8	18.1	-2.27
Sam Cassell	36	35	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	17	-17	14.4	16.8	-2.40	18.0	17.5	0.55
Daniel Ewing	39	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	24	-31	15.6	16.0	-0.46	18.0	17.4	0.55
Walter McCarty	11	11	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	25	-33	20.4	15.1	5.22	14.7	18.1	-3.38
Boniface N'Dong	26	26	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.12	-11	28	-39	16.9	15.3	1.59	15.2	18.8	-3.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.82,0.79,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 89, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
MEM 94, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.4,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MEM 82, SAS 103	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.76,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%