NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	90		Excitement	5.0 [829]		MVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): +15.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	81		Comeback	1.1 [581]		LVP	Eric Snow (CLE): -12.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rafer Alston	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.07	0.02	11	64%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Luther Head	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	29	50%	0.17	4	-0.07	10	60%	-0.04
Juwan Howard	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	12	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.02	6	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jon Barry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.15	-0.05	0.05	19	73%	0.13	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Martynas Andriuskevicius	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	3	33%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.02	16	34%	0.02	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	33%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	13	53%	0.03	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.06
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	7	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	3.8	31.2	19.6	25.4	3.6	33.3	143.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +20.1%

HOU +17.8%

CLE -2.4%

HOU +14.4%

HOU +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CLE	NBA	HOU	CLE	NBA
this game	17.7	16.2	15.6	105.9	95.3	104.4
season	16.1	16.2		99.9	105.6
opponent	15.5	16.1		103.9	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	18.6	18.2	18.6	17.7
CLE	15.6	15.7	16.1	17.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	69	70	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.15	19	-10	29	17.0	20.9	-3.95	15.4	19.8	-4.43
Rafer Alston	71	72	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.20	16	-7	23	17.7	18.1	-0.41	15.7	18.4	-2.63
Tracy McGrady	77	75	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-5	19	17.3	22.1	-4.85	15.6	20.4	-4.81
David Wesley	62	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	7	-5	17.3	18.9	-1.62	15.9	16.7	-0.80
Dikembe Mutombo	57	56	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.19	2	7	-5	18.3	16.5	1.78	17.4	13.8	3.63
Luther Head	34	35	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	7	-5	17.9	17.6	0.35	19.1	14.1	5.03
Stromile Swift	42	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.09	-1	10	-11	18.1	17.3	0.82	15.7	16.6	-0.86
Jon Barry	8	8	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.03	-3	12	-15	21.2	17.4	3.89	14.4	16.3	-1.96
Ryan Bowen	5	6	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	15	-21	24.2	17.3	6.87	16.0	16.2	-0.16

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Wilks	19	19	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-15	21	19.8	15.1	4.75	21.5	16.6	4.89
Luke Jackson	9	9	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.03	3	-12	15	14.3	16.4	-2.04	20.8	17.4	3.41
Sasha Pavlovic	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	14.0	16.2	-2.18	17.0	17.7	-0.74
Martynas Andriuskevicius	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-9	9	14.0	16.2	-2.18	17.0	17.7	-0.74
Ira Newble	32	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.15	5	-14	19	16.6	15.9	0.66	18.6	17.2	1.44
Drew Gooden	52	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-4	-1	15.1	17.8	-2.62	16.9	19.1	-2.23
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	55	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.14	-8	-1	-7	17.5	13.8	3.69	18.2	16.8	1.44
Donyell Marshall	61	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.24	-5	-4	-1	15.9	16.7	-0.83	18.0	17.0	1.07
Eric Snow	53	54	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.08	-14	5	-19	15.9	16.6	-0.66	17.2	18.6	-1.44
LeBron James	80	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	1	-11	16.0	19.2	-3.24	17.3	23.7	-6.39
Damon Jones	62	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.10	-17	8	-25	15.5	17.8	-2.29	16.7	20.6	-3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.25,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.29,0.19,0.17,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.07,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 115, LAL 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.29,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.08,0.16,0.12,0.25,0.27,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0,0	94.3%
MIA 108, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.04,0,0,0	94.0%
DET 108, BKN 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	93.8%