NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	86		Excitement	4.2 [1004]		MVP	Earl Boykins (DEN): +9.8%
Denver Nuggets	106		Comeback	1.1 [1187]		LVP	Austin Croshere (IND): -8.4%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scot Pollard	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	7	57%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	17%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Danny Granger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	8	75%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	10	52%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jeff Foster	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	9	35%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	36%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	12	43%	0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	17	50%	0.05	6	-0.12	8	87%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	5	27%	-0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.00	0.05	14	72%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	5	100%	0.10	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.03	0.01	11	62%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	16	57%	0.11	3	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Julius Hodge	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	3	43%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	6	73%	0.06	4	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	56%	0.02	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	8	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	28.7	15.8	30.2	1.8	24.2	127.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +37.5%

DEN +14.1%

IND -4.0%

DEN +3.7%

IND -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DEN	NBA	IND	DEN	NBA
this game	17.1	13.4	15.6	90.5	112.8	104.4
season	16.0	14.4		102.3	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.5	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.8	15.0	17.0	17.8	17.1
DEN	13.3	13.8	12.9	13.5	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Gill	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	16.4	17.2	-0.81	12.6	13.5	-0.83
Scot Pollard	53	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-23	26	16.6	17.7	-1.04	13.0	13.8	-0.80
Sarunas Jasikevicius	54	52	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.17	4	-24	28	16.5	17.9	-1.44	12.9	14.0	-1.13
Jeff Foster	38	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-20	20	16.3	17.6	-1.24	12.9	13.6	-0.68
David Harrison	35	35	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-13	6	17.1	17.1	0.05	13.8	13.1	0.68
Danny Granger	62	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.20	-15	-5	-10	17.7	16.0	1.71	13.9	12.3	1.66
Anthony Johnson	52	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.24	-21	1	-22	17.8	16.2	1.68	13.9	12.6	1.26
Stephen Jackson	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.07	-16	-4	-12	17.0	17.2	-0.11	13.5	13.2	0.30
Fred Jones	61	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.11	-22	2	-24	16.5	18.1	-1.66	12.8	14.3	-1.49
Austin Croshere	45	46	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.23	-27	7	-34	18.3	16.0	2.33	13.7	13.0	0.68

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	63	63	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.11	21	-1	22	13.9	12.3	1.57	17.4	16.4	0.98
Kenyon Martin	49	51	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.03	14	6	8	13.5	13.2	0.29	18.0	16.0	1.93
Francisco Elson	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.09	14	6	8	13.9	12.8	1.04	17.2	17.0	0.16
Earl Boykins	57	58	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.15	16	4	12	12.8	14.3	-1.48	15.9	18.9	-3.05
Carmelo Anthony	63	64	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.03	9	11	-2	13.9	12.4	1.47	17.9	15.4	2.57
Eduardo Najera	59	61	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	12	-4	12.8	14.3	-1.41	16.9	17.4	-0.56
Greg Buckner	63	62	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.09	13	7	6	14.0	12.1	1.95	18.0	15.5	2.50
Earl Watson	49	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.08	9	11	-2	12.3	14.6	-2.31	15.9	18.4	-2.58
Julius Hodge	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	20	-20	12.1	13.5	-1.33	15.9	17.2	-1.32
Linas Kleiza	10	9	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.03	-4	24	-28	12.6	13.5	-0.86	14.1	17.4	-3.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 79, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.73,0.67,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
LAL 111, TOR 123	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
OKC 89, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.78,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.81,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.75,0.89,0.89,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%