NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	96		Excitement	2.7 [1243]		MVP	Fred Jones (IND): +17.1%
Indiana Pacers	115		Comeback	1.1 [1209]		LVP	Danny Fortson (SEA): -3.0%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	12	57%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	21	53%	0.04	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	16	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	15	40%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.00	0.01	16	72%	0.17	1	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.00	0.00	12	67%	0.14	3	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.06	1	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sarunas Jasikevicius	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	10	74%	0.06	2	-0.01	7	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	45%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	78%	0.08	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	6	100%	-0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	1	25%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.9	16.0	24.0	2.8	27.4	125.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +37.2%

IND +11.1%

SEA -1.9%

IND +2.5%

IND +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	IND	NBA	SEA	IND	NBA
this game	14.3	17.5	15.6	106.7	126.4	104.4
season	15.0	16.0		108.9	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		100.8	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.6	15.7	13.4	12.5	14.3
IND	16.4	16.3	19.9	17.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-20	21	9.2	14.7	-5.51	16.0	17.6	-1.62
Vladimir Radmanovic	15	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-19	19	10.5	15.1	-4.61	17.1	17.6	-0.52
Danny Fortson	19	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.10	3	-22	25	15.0	14.1	0.87	16.6	17.7	-1.08
Nick Collison	31	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-19	19	14.4	14.3	0.17	18.8	16.9	1.91
Johan Petro	16	19	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-15	11	12.7	14.7	-1.97	18.9	17.1	1.84
Luke Ridnour	46	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-20	21	13.2	15.5	-2.28	18.1	16.8	1.38
Ronald Murray	55	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-17	15	13.6	15.4	-1.74	17.1	18.1	-1.02
Vitaly Potapenko	12	12	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.16	-13	-6	-7	17.9	13.8	4.16	14.6	17.9	-3.35
Damien Wilkins	54	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.20	-20	1	-21	14.2	14.4	-0.22	16.4	19.2	-2.81
Reggie Evans	53	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.09	-19	0	-19	15.4	12.7	2.69	17.6	17.4	0.24
Ray Allen	67	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.15	-21	2	-23	15.0	12.3	2.64	17.9	16.4	1.46
Rashard Lewis	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.10	-21	2	-23	14.9	11.1	3.75	17.8	15.8	2.03

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	76	72	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.08	19	0	19	17.7	16.4	1.31	15.1	11.1	4.00
Anthony Johnson	48	47	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.15	19	0	19	17.3	17.7	-0.43	16.0	12.4	3.62
David Harrison	44	44	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.25	22	-3	25	16.8	18.2	-1.40	16.5	12.3	4.19
Austin Croshere	45	41	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.08	15	4	11	18.0	17.0	1.09	15.3	13.5	1.80
Danny Granger	53	54	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.12	15	4	11	17.1	18.0	-0.87	14.6	13.9	0.66
Fred Jones	62	61	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.03	7	12	-5	17.1	18.3	-1.25	13.4	16.3	-2.90
Sarunas Jasikevicius	53	53	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	14	-9	17.5	17.5	-0.05	12.9	16.3	-3.37
Jeff Foster	46	46	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	22	-25	18.6	16.4	2.17	12.3	16.5	-4.19
Scot Pollard	19	22	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	20	-21	17.9	17.4	0.57	13.9	14.4	-0.53
Eddie Gill	9	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	22	-25	16.1	17.6	-1.54	8.9	15.0	-6.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.77,0.79,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 83, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.6%
SAC 89, OKC 102	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
GSW 91, POR 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%