NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	91		Excitement	7.5 [337]		MVP	Chucky Atkins (WAS): +16.5%
Washington Wizards	94		Comeback	5.5 [438]		LVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): -14.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Smush Parker	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.05	-0.01	12	67%	0.19	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kwame Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	42%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09	-0.01	-0.09	-0.02	9	41%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Kobe Bryant	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.1,-0.03,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	-0.01	27	48%	0.12	5	-0.24	10	90%	0.01
Devean George	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	7	29%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.06	0.11	-0.00	9	67%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.04	0.01	23	60%	0.19	4	-0.09	11	91%	0.06
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	13	50%	0.07	1	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	44%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Michael Ruffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Etan Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	21	34%	-0.14	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	32.5	16.4	31.4	2.6	30.3	141.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -3.2%

WAS +6.8%

WAS +10.3%

WAS +30.1%

WAS +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	WAS	NBA	LAL	WAS	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	15.6	96.8	101.1	104.4
season	15.6	15.1		106.2	107.4
opponent	15.6	15.5		105.5	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.6	14.0	19.9	17.6	16.1
WAS	14.1	15.4	13.4	16.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	54	55	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-1	-1	15.5	16.8	-1.31	14.2	15.5	-1.32
Lamar Odom	75	76	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-9	15	16.1	16.0	0.09	15.1	12.8	2.32
Brian Cook	55	54	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-4	5	15.7	16.6	-0.84	14.1	15.6	-1.45
Sasha Vujacic	15	15	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-1	-1	15.9	16.1	-0.25	15.5	14.6	0.97
Luke Walton	29	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	4	-11	17.1	15.6	1.49	15.0	14.6	0.36
Kwame Brown	39	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.28	-2	-1	-1	16.7	15.6	1.14	15.4	14.3	1.14
Smush Parker	79	78	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-2	1	16.1	15.9	0.25	14.6	15.5	-0.97
Devean George	47	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-6	9	16.8	15.4	1.38	15.3	14.1	1.20
Kobe Bryant	77	76	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.41	-11	8	-19	15.5	18.5	-2.93	14.3	16.5	-2.14

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	42	43	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.25	18	-15	33	14.8	14.6	0.16	15.4	16.6	-1.17
Chucky Atkins	43	44	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-11	25	14.7	14.8	-0.13	17.9	14.5	3.45
Gilbert Arenas	89	89	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.38	7	-4	11	14.7	15.0	-0.29	15.8	21.4	-5.62
Michael Ruffin	29	31	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.28	2	1	1	14.7	14.7	-0.04	17.2	15.5	1.67
Caron Butler	73	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.18	5	-2	7	14.6	15.1	-0.55	16.3	15.4	0.83
Antonio Daniels	23	24	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.24	-4	7	-11	14.9	14.7	0.20	16.4	16.0	0.40
Antawn Jamison	75	76	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.26	-5	8	-13	14.8	14.4	0.34	15.8	17.3	-1.49
Jared Jeffries	49	47	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	8	-13	14.4	15.1	-0.70	14.8	17.3	-2.49
Etan Thomas	13	14	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	5	-7	17.5	14.3	3.19	13.8	16.5	-2.69
Brendan Haywood	29	29	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	0.13	-15	18	-33	14.1	15.0	-0.90	17.1	15.6	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.74,0.78,0.71,0.87,0.77,0.7,0.8,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.85,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 99, GSW 109	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.3,0.2,0.25,0.41,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.63,0.55,0.71,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.98,0.92,1	92.0%
NOP 111, CLE 118	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.39,0.29,0.28,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.4,0.44,0.56,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.89,0.99,1,1	91.9%
DEN 86, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.83,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.68,0.95,1	91.8%