inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Houston Rockets 86 Excitement3.2 [1165] MVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): +10.2%
Denver Nuggets 108 Comeback1.0 [1224] LVPJuwan Howard (HOU): -14.0%


Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Wesley0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.00-0.031048%0.0500.001100%0.00
Lonny Baxter0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.01467%0.032-0.024100%0.01
Ryan Bowen-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01629%-0.0200.002100%0.00
Stromile Swift-0.030,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.00946%0.012-0.04683%0.01
Stephen Graham-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.01756%-0.013-0.032100%0.00
Moochie Norris-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.010.01440%-0.021-0.032100%0.00
Luther Head-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.18-0.01-0.141319%-0.023-0.0300%0.00
Tracy McGrady-0.090,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.010.041740%-0.071-0.029100%0.03
Juwan Howard-0.140,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.03-0.010.101649%-0.073-0.07540%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.10-0.030.02-0.111953%0.175-0.07956%0.00
Eduardo Najera0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.01-0.02470%0.051-0.00250%-0.01
DerMarr Johnson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00-0.021050%0.031-0.0000%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.070.010.071176%0.044-0.033100%0.01
Julius Hodge0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.080.00-0.08517%0.0010.0020%0.00
Linas Kleiza0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.050.000.05470%0.0000.00250%0.00
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.12-0.000.13592%-0.0100.00367%-0.01
Greg Buckner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.03744%0.012-0.022100%0.01
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.01250%-0.002-0.0300%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.011240%-0.011-0.02667%-0.00
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.01731%-0.0500.00250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.43.332.115.825.22.727.0131.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +39.6%
HOU -3.6%
DEN +7.1%
DEN +5.2%
DEN +1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsHOUDENNBAHOUDENNBA
this game15.013.815.685.1109.1104.4
season16.114.499.9103.5
opponent15.916.1103.5101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
HOU15.614.514.515.615.0
DEN13.214.313.813.813.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Stephen Graham3232-0.02-0.480.47-0.051-232414.015.5-1.4313.414.0-0.60
Moochie Norris4140-0.08-0.420.33-0.06-1-212015.015.0-0.1014.113.50.62
Lonny Baxter5051-0.19-0.310.130.02-7-15813.716.3-2.5514.013.60.42
Ryan Bowen4445-0.22-0.280.06-0.13-3-191616.014.31.6714.813.01.79
Stromile Swift4342-0.27-0.23-0.050.25-18-4-1415.814.41.3213.813.70.10
Luther Head7976-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.01-12-10-214.716.0-1.2714.212.31.92
David Wesley6564-0.41-0.09-0.320.18-20-2-1814.715.6-0.8913.614.1-0.52
Juwan Howard7875-0.44-0.06-0.370.21-220-2215.313.91.4213.016.1-3.10
Tracy McGrady7370-0.520.02-0.530.31-286-3415.613.52.0413.414.6-1.19

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony68710.430.070.37-0.121931613.015.4-2.3415.015.00.06
Andre Miller71720.430.070.37-0.3928-63413.614.3-0.7615.114.80.35
Kenyon Martin36380.380.120.27-0.091661013.713.8-0.1716.414.22.22
Earl Watson58600.320.180.13-0.06139414.512.81.7414.316.0-1.67
Marcus Camby54560.310.190.11-0.07139413.614.0-0.4515.414.50.98
Eduardo Najera52530.260.240.02-0.271841413.314.3-1.0714.116.0-1.97
Greg Buckner39400.160.34-0.18-0.05715-813.813.70.1115.514.70.81
DerMarr Johnson49490.160.34-0.190.04418-1413.614.0-0.3715.414.70.73
Francisco Elson44440.050.45-0.40-0.01220-1814.013.60.4814.515.4-0.86
Julius Hodge12110.000.50-0.500.15-527-3216.213.42.8114.515.1-0.62
Linas Kleiza12110.000.50-0.500.15-527-3216.213.42.8114.515.1-0.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 94, CLE 1080.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
LAC 101, ORL 1140.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
SAS 69, CHI 1110.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%