NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	4.5 [942]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (DET): +18.4%
Detroit Pistons	109		Comeback	1.4 [976]		LVP	Maurice Evans (DET): -9.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	67%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Mike Bibby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	67%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	10	40%	-0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	8	52%	-0.01	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	5	0%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.04	-0.00	9	95%	0.22	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.03	0.04	15	87%	0.26	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	10	65%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	0.01	0.08	27	58%	0.11	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	38%	0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.15	-0.00	-0.06	7	0%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.8	30.2	16.7	22.2	2.5	24.6	121.9
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +36.7%

DET +1.4%

DET +13.2%

SAC -7.0%

DET +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	DET	NBA	SAC	DET	NBA
this game	14.3	16.7	15.6	105.4	117.2	104.4
season	15.3	16.9		104.7	108.3
opponent	15.8	15.5		101.4	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.6	12.7	15.7	14.3	14.3
DET	14.2	16.8	18.6	17.6	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	40	40	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.29	15	-26	41	12.1	15.9	-3.74	16.9	16.5	0.33
Brian Skinner	36	37	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.21	9	-20	29	12.8	15.2	-2.36	17.1	16.4	0.74
Jason Hart	27	28	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-15	19	13.7	14.5	-0.86	15.7	17.1	-1.34
Ronnie Price	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-15	19	10.0	14.5	-4.47	19.2	16.5	2.65
Kevin Martin	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-18	25	11.2	14.6	-3.31	17.8	16.6	1.21
Francisco Garcia	36	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.03	1	-12	13	13.2	14.9	-1.73	16.3	16.9	-0.55
Kenny Thomas	38	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.19	6	-17	23	13.3	14.9	-1.63	17.0	16.5	0.54
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	55	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.02	-17	6	-23	14.9	13.3	1.63	16.5	17.0	-0.54
Peja Stojakovic	49	49	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.06	-19	8	-27	15.6	12.9	2.69	16.7	16.6	0.10
Mike Bibby	62	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	8	-27	14.8	13.2	1.63	16.9	16.3	0.64
Brad Miller	57	56	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.03	-20	9	-29	15.2	12.8	2.36	16.4	17.1	-0.74
Bonzi Wells	53	53	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	0.12	-26	15	-41	15.9	12.1	3.74	16.5	16.9	-0.33

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	76	78	0.67	-0.17	0.84	-0.04	24	-13	37	16.6	16.9	-0.31	15.0	10.5	4.47
Tayshaun Prince	60	61	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.04	22	-11	33	16.3	17.4	-1.14	15.1	12.8	2.28
Richard Hamilton	78	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-5	21	16.9	15.8	1.06	14.4	13.4	1.04
Rasheed Wallace	59	59	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.04	14	-3	17	15.9	18.0	-2.07	14.5	13.9	0.63
Ben Wallace	82	82	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	1	9	16.7	16.9	-0.25	14.0	16.4	-2.36
Antonio McDyess	35	37	0.14	0.36	-0.23	-0.04	6	5	1	17.3	16.3	1.00	15.5	13.5	1.96
Maurice Evans	34	33	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	14	-17	16.9	16.5	0.40	14.0	14.4	-0.43
Darko Milicic	5	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	19.2	16.5	2.65	10.0	14.5	-4.47
Jason Maxiell	5	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	19.2	16.5	2.65	10.0	14.5	-4.47
Carlos Arroyo	17	15	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.21	-13	24	-37	16.9	16.6	0.31	10.5	15.0	-4.47
Carlos Delfino	14	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.21	-13	24	-37	16.9	16.7	0.20	10.1	14.9	-4.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.56,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.79,0.81,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 93, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.9,0.9,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
SAC 85, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
CHI 71, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%