NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	94		Excitement	4.6 [909]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +12.2%
Seattle SuperSonics	104		Comeback	1.1 [1206]		LVP	Raymond Felton (CHA): -8.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Primoz Brezec	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.05	14	66%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	12	53%	0.04	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Keith Bogans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	10	57%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Bernard Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	16	54%	0.01	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	42%	-0.03	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	22	56%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	0.02	0.06	23	60%	0.15	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.04	15	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	0.8	28.5	15.0	28.3	1.7	33.3	131.2
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +35.5%

SEA +0.6%

CHA -1.4%

SEA +14.7%

SEA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SEA	NBA	CHA	SEA	NBA
this game	14.0	16.7	15.6	102.2	109.5	104.4
season	14.8	15.0		100.5	108.9
opponent	15.8	15.4		112.2	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	14.5	13.7	15.9	12.0	14.0
SEA	17.4	14.5	16.1	19.3	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	7	7	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-7	4	14.7	14.0	0.76	13.4	17.0	-3.58
Matt Carroll	9	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-8	6	15.1	13.9	1.22	15.1	16.9	-1.84
Bernard Robinson	7	7	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-8	6	12.7	14.1	-1.40	15.7	16.8	-1.12
Jumaine Jones	10	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-7	4	19.8	13.3	6.50	16.1	16.8	-0.70
Raymond Felton	18	18	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-1	-8	18.3	13.0	5.30	15.7	17.0	-1.26
Kareem Rush	74	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.24	2	-12	14	13.0	18.1	-5.03	17.4	14.4	2.97
Melvin Ely	26	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-3	-4	17.5	12.7	4.81	15.9	17.1	-1.20
Gerald Wallace	62	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-8	6	12.7	16.6	-3.89	17.1	16.0	1.14
Emeka Okafor	76	79	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-6	2	13.6	16.1	-2.48	17.3	13.9	3.45
Brevin Knight	74	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.30	-1	-9	8	13.0	18.3	-5.30	17.0	15.7	1.26
Keith Bogans	22	24	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.04	-13	3	-16	18.2	12.7	5.54	15.0	17.3	-2.28
Primoz Brezec	75	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.22	-6	-4	-2	13.2	17.6	-4.46	16.8	16.7	0.03

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luke Ridnour	72	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.19	8	2	6	16.7	16.9	-0.22	13.4	15.9	-2.44
Rashard Lewis	80	77	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	3	4	16.8	16.5	0.25	13.2	18.2	-5.01
Ray Allen	83	80	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	4	2	16.8	16.1	0.76	13.9	14.8	-0.95
Reggie Evans	53	51	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.07	10	0	10	16.8	16.7	0.06	13.8	14.3	-0.51
Nick Collison	59	57	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	4	2	17.1	16.2	0.85	12.9	15.8	-2.84
Vitaly Potapenko	27	26	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	1	8	16.1	17.0	-0.94	16.7	13.0	3.74
Vladimir Radmanovic	28	27	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	3	4	16.1	17.0	-0.91	16.5	13.0	3.50
Ronald Murray	35	34	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	4	2	16.6	16.8	-0.19	15.5	13.1	2.36
Damien Wilkins	29	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	14	-18	17.2	16.5	0.66	14.3	13.9	0.39
Johan Petro	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.10	-5	15	-20	16.7	16.8	-0.09	13.1	14.1	-1.00

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 97, PHX 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
DAL 107, GSW 127	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
SEA 93, GSW 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.86,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%