NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	84		Excitement	5.4 [760]		MVP	Manu Ginobili (SAS): +18.6%
San Antonio Spurs	90		Comeback	1.1 [1205]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -23.2%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sasha Vujacic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	7	67%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Devin Green	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0	0.04	-0.03	0.00	25	51%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.02
Luke Walton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Laron Profit	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	-0.03	7	0%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.23	-0.18	-0.08	-0.03	33	34%	-0.18	3	-0.05	8	87%	0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.2,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.07	-0.02	14	69%	0.22	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	12	46%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Fabricio Oberto	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	2	25%	-0.02	1	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	13	48%	0.03	5	-0.10	7	57%	-0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	11	38%	-0.01	4	-0.07	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.2	17.4	28.5	2.8	34.0	137.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +61.4%

LAL -11.3%

SAS +0.2%

LAL -7.1%

SAS +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAS	NBA	LAL	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	15.2	15.6	89.4	95.7	104.4
season	15.6	16.3		106.2	106.0
opponent	15.6	15.5		99.4	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.8	14.4	15.6	17.3	15.5
SAS	12.9	16.9	13.8	17.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Green	7	6	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.04	2	-8	10	21.1	15.0	6.13	18.3	15.0	3.38
Luke Walton	48	47	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.25	9	-15	24	14.1	16.8	-2.70	14.6	15.8	-1.23
Laron Profit	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-3	0	14.0	15.6	-1.62	16.5	15.0	1.49
Aaron McKie	22	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.21	2	-8	10	17.7	14.8	2.95	17.1	14.6	2.54
Andrew Bynum	39	40	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.23	2	-8	10	15.9	15.1	0.78	16.8	14.0	2.84
Sasha Vujacic	43	44	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-9	12	15.4	15.5	-0.09	14.9	15.4	-0.53
Smush Parker	53	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.02	-11	5	-16	15.4	15.6	-0.25	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Lamar Odom	82	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.34	1	-7	8	15.7	13.9	1.78	15.5	13.4	2.05
Chris Mihm	48	47	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	7	-20	15.6	15.3	0.32	14.1	16.3	-2.21
Brian Cook	36	38	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.04	-15	9	-24	14.9	15.8	-0.85	14.4	15.7	-1.30
Kobe Bryant	83	84	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	1	-8	15.1	18.2	-3.07	14.7	19.0	-4.29

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	61	62	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.11	19	-13	32	14.0	17.4	-3.47	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Tim Duncan	68	70	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.17	10	-4	14	15.5	14.2	1.35	16.0	13.8	2.25
Bruce Bowen	69	69	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.19	7	-1	8	15.6	14.0	1.59	15.5	15.3	0.26
Tony Parker	64	65	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.12	9	-3	12	15.4	14.6	0.79	15.8	14.8	0.98
Rasho Nesterovic	50	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.11	8	-2	10	15.8	14.5	1.35	15.9	15.0	0.86
Michael Finley	49	47	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.32	-3	9	-12	14.9	15.4	-0.48	15.6	15.3	0.26
Nazr Mohammed	30	29	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.20	-3	9	-12	14.7	15.4	-0.69	15.2	15.6	-0.43
Nick Van Exel	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.20	-3	9	-12	14.6	15.4	-0.79	14.8	15.8	-0.98
Robert Horry	31	29	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	6	-6	14.0	15.8	-1.79	14.2	16.0	-1.82
Fabricio Oberto	3	3	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.00	-5	11	-16	22.3	14.9	7.40	13.7	15.5	-1.86
Brent Barry	15	16	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	15	-24	17.1	14.8	2.34	14.3	15.7	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.76,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.9,0.86,0.99,0.87,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 104, MIN 119	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
DAL 85, CHI 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.96,1,1	94.3%
SAS 103, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.9,0.98,1	94.0%