NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	94		Excitement	7.6 [325]		MVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): +39.6%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	80.3 [12]		LVP	Baron Davis (GSW): -26.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.4	0.03	0.36	-0.00	11	50%	0.40	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0.37	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.37	0.10	0.28	0.02	20	62%	0.41	2	-0.04	7	43%	-0.03
Mike Dunleavy	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.27,0.27	0.07	0.21	0.01	7	69%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Adonal Foyle	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	4	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Zarko Cabarkapa	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	80%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Andris Biedrins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Ike Diogu	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.05	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Aaron Miles	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	9	35%	-0.05	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Baron Davis	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.27	-0.16	-0.13	-0.02	17	29%	-0.24	2	-0.03	11	55%	-0.29

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.22	0.22	0.01	0.20	-0.01	6	56%	0.26	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.07
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.02	12	66%	0.16	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,0.01	0.01	-0.10	0.09	-0.03	9	45%	0.18	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.07	0.00	18	65%	0.10	3	-0.09	1	0%	-0.01
Robert Whaley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	15	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	8	38%	-0.05	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.3	31.8	14.8	25.5	2.3	34.4	136.7
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +56.7%

UTA -31.3%

GSW +12.7%

GSW +16.9%

UTA -5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	UTA	NBA	GSW	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.8	15.6	100.0	92.8	104.4
season	14.8	17.0		102.9	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.5		104.6	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.6	15.8	13.4	13.7	14.4
UTA	14.8	16.9	14.8	16.9	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Fisher	53	56	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.29	15	-11	26	15.0	13.5	1.53	15.6	16.1	-0.50
Mike Dunleavy	65	68	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.60	4	0	4	13.6	16.1	-2.58	15.5	16.4	-0.90
Jason Richardson	70	70	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	0	4	14.0	15.3	-1.26	16.3	14.4	1.86
Baron Davis	81	84	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.55	0	4	-4	14.4	13.8	0.68	15.7	16.6	-0.96
Calbert Cheaney	26	28	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	2	0	15.5	13.9	1.59	15.3	16.0	-0.65
Zarko Cabarkapa	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	4	-4	14.4	14.3	0.08	18.4	15.6	2.85
Adonal Foyle	44	44	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.00	-1	5	-6	13.5	15.1	-1.60	15.9	15.7	0.27
Aaron Miles	13	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.17	4	0	4	13.8	14.4	-0.68	16.6	15.7	0.96
Andris Biedrins	10	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	7	-10	19.9	13.7	6.21	14.2	16.0	-1.81
Troy Murphy	66	68	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.09	0	4	-4	13.8	15.6	-1.79	16.1	15.1	0.97
Ike Diogu	35	36	-0.35	0.85	-1.19	-0.20	-5	9	-14	15.1	13.9	1.17	15.2	16.1	-0.89

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	38	38	0.40	-0.90	1.30	0.25	5	-9	14	15.8	15.8	0.05	16.2	13.1	3.08
Kris Humphries	26	23	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.08	5	-9	14	14.3	16.3	-2.02	17.0	13.5	3.56
Milt Palacio	43	42	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.22	-1	-3	2	15.3	16.1	-0.78	15.8	13.2	2.59
Greg Ostertag	52	50	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-7	10	15.4	16.2	-0.86	13.6	15.2	-1.65
Andre Owens	1	0	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-4	4	38.0	15.6	22.45	0.0	14.4	-14.35
Robert Whaley	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-3	2	38.0	15.6	22.45	17.0	14.3	2.68
Deron Williams	82	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-4	4	15.9	15.0	0.93	14.1	16.0	-1.89
Matt Harpring	54	53	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.63	-1	-3	2	16.5	14.9	1.66	13.4	15.6	-2.28
Mehmet Okur	71	71	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.47	-9	5	-14	16.3	14.3	2.02	13.5	17.0	-3.56
Gordan Giricek	68	64	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.55	-7	3	-10	15.6	16.3	-0.75	13.7	15.7	-1.98
Devin Brown	49	46	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.39	-14	10	-24	14.9	16.7	-1.75	14.8	14.0	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.87,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.87,0.96,0.98,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, ORL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.73,0.79,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.77,0.63,0	91.1%
DEN 106, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.73,0	90.9%
HOU 103, NOP 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.72,0.78,0.87,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.83,0.78,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.85,0.58,0	90.9%