NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	74		Excitement	5.4 [765]		MVP	Trenton Hassell (MIN): +12.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Comeback	2.5 [786]		LVP	Smush Parker (LAL): -15.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Laron Profit	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	10	42%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	26	48%	0.03	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.01
Chris Mihm	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	16	42%	-0.01	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.01
Smush Parker	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.03	0.02	7	78%	0.14	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	0.02	2	83%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	16	49%	0.06	3	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	12	45%	0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Ronald Dupree	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	48%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Rashad McCants	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.5	31.5	17.7	24.2	2.7	34.0	137.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +19.5%

MIN +20.3%

MIN +8.9%

LAL -1.2%

MIN +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.6	17.3	15.6	84.1	101.1	104.4
season	15.6	16.1		106.2	101.0
opponent	15.9	15.5		103.1	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.3	15.2	16.0	16.1	15.6
MIN	18.2	17.5	15.3	18.2	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Bynum	6	4	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-16	18	14.0	15.8	-1.77	16.7	17.3	-0.55
Slava Medvedenko	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	11.0	15.7	-4.70	0.0	17.5	-17.48
Chris Mihm	38	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.12	2	-16	18	16.3	15.1	1.18	18.1	16.6	1.41
Laron Profit	23	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	-10	6	16.8	15.2	1.60	19.4	16.6	2.79
Sasha Vujacic	27	26	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-7	0	16.9	15.1	1.74	15.4	18.1	-2.64
Smush Parker	58	59	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-6	-2	15.0	16.8	-1.80	16.9	18.1	-1.28
Lamar Odom	65	65	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-3	-8	15.6	15.8	-0.24	17.5	16.7	0.73
Brian Cook	24	24	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.12	-8	-6	-2	17.7	14.9	2.78	19.6	16.4	3.24
Devean George	51	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-1	-12	14.5	17.2	-2.71	16.8	18.0	-1.21
Kwame Brown	73	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.04	-14	0	-14	15.6	16.1	-0.51	16.6	20.6	-4.02
Kobe Bryant	74	73	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	-3	-8	15.4	16.7	-1.27	17.6	15.6	1.95

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Griffin	51	53	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.01	24	-10	34	18.1	16.1	1.94	15.7	15.5	0.17
Troy Hudson	41	39	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.05	14	0	14	16.3	18.1	-1.77	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Kevin Garnett	73	75	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.01	14	0	14	17.2	17.4	-0.18	16.0	13.6	2.38
Anthony Carter	24	25	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.06	16	-2	18	16.0	17.7	-1.70	16.4	15.4	0.99
Wally Szczerbiak	70	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.13	6	8	-2	18.0	14.4	3.63	15.4	16.6	-1.24
Trenton Hassell	60	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	4	6	17.2	17.5	-0.35	15.2	16.5	-1.34
Rashad McCants	29	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	7	0	17.1	17.4	-0.31	15.9	15.5	0.33
Mark Madsen	14	13	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	14	-14	17.4	17.2	0.18	13.6	16.0	-2.38
Ronald Dupree	9	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	17	-20	16.0	17.4	-1.42	17.5	15.4	2.09
Marko Jaric	31	33	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.03	-8	22	-30	17.3	17.2	0.07	15.9	15.5	0.47
Michael Olowokandi	33	33	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.08	-10	24	-34	17.3	17.3	-0.01	15.6	15.7	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
DEN 75, MIL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.9%
POR 101, UTA 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.52,0.66,0.63,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.7%