inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Seattle SuperSonics 85 Excitement2.7 [1240] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +7.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers 112 Comeback1.1 [1201] LVPVladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -6.3%


Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0.060,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.16-0.000.101678%0.123-0.06450%-0.01
Nick Collison0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01650%0.0200.0000%0.00
Danny Fortson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00356%0.031-0.02333%-0.02
Johan Petro0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Rashard Lewis0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mateen Cleaves0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Reggie Evans-0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00542%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Vitaly Potapenko-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01633%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Ronald Murray-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.010.021547%0.001-0.02250%-0.01
Damien Wilkins-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.11-0.00-0.06822%-0.032-0.022100%0.00
Luke Ridnour-0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.11-0.00-0.05911%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.000.071155%-0.062-0.0000%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.110.010.051866%0.134-0.0611100%0.04
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.01-0.031146%0.0500.006100%0.01
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.020.00-0.03757%0.0510.0000%0.00
Drew Gooden0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.000.01565%0.051-0.017100%0.03
Eric Snow0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.013100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.00370%0.031-0.01475%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.00-0.041154%0.073-0.062100%0.00
Zendon Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.030.000.03455%0.0000.00367%0.00
Mike Wilks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.040.000.042100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.00462%-0.0120.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.10-0.00-0.08757%0.026-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.12.734.015.624.81.825.6130.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.0144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +25.5%
CLE +19.6%
CLE +9.9%
SEA -5.4%
CLE +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSEACLENBASEACLENBA
this game16.516.415.697.7127.3104.4
season15.016.2108.9105.6
opponent15.515.8103.9112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SEA15.616.017.816.916.5
CLE15.012.319.120.916.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mateen Cleaves780.00-0.500.500.06-2-252317.416.41.0025.015.59.45
Johan Petro2426-0.01-0.490.47-0.072-293116.416.5-0.1219.315.24.17
Rashard Lewis43-0.07-0.430.370.08-5-221720.216.33.9215.716.4-0.77
Reggie Evans3231-0.15-0.350.210.09-8-191117.715.81.8716.816.20.61
Vitaly Potapenko2827-0.16-0.340.180.08-8-191117.416.11.3616.316.4-0.11
Danny Fortson2524-0.20-0.300.100.21-14-13-115.716.8-1.1014.917.0-2.11
Luke Ridnour5555-0.27-0.23-0.040.11-13-14116.915.81.1016.216.8-0.56
Vladimir Radmanovic5761-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.07-7-201315.618.3-2.6917.613.73.90
Nick Collison3941-0.31-0.19-0.110.28-20-7-1316.416.6-0.2714.318.3-3.96
Damien Wilkins5251-0.33-0.17-0.160.29-21-6-1516.516.50.0815.717.3-1.58
Ronald Murray4545-0.34-0.16-0.180.39-25-2-2315.917.1-1.2316.816.00.75
Ray Allen6768-0.39-0.11-0.280.02-14-13-116.516.6-0.1215.320.1-4.78

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James68670.440.060.39-0.292522315.718.9-3.2916.217.4-1.23
Larry Hughes60600.400.100.30-0.101710715.318.8-3.5416.616.20.46
Donyell Marshall48480.380.120.26-0.15189915.717.2-1.5015.717.5-1.73
Damon Jones46440.320.180.14-0.352341914.818.1-3.2715.717.3-1.67
Drew Gooden53510.290.210.08-0.121413116.116.9-0.7916.516.6-0.08
Eric Snow43430.270.230.04-0.021017-716.116.7-0.5717.115.91.16
Zydrunas Ilgauskas39400.210.29-0.08-0.171314-117.215.81.3417.515.61.89
Alan Henderson30290.120.38-0.25-0.02522-1716.216.5-0.2716.016.7-0.71
Luke Jackson24240.060.44-0.38-0.17819-1118.915.53.4517.916.01.89
Mike Wilks9100.000.50-0.490.03-128-2924.815.59.3215.616.6-1.02
Sasha Pavlovic14130.000.50-0.500.03-128-2921.215.55.7116.316.5-0.23
Zendon Hamilton660.000.50-0.50-0.12423-1920.716.14.5718.516.42.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 78, NYK 1060.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.6%
ATL 87, CHH 1110.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.5%
PHX 81, HOU 990.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.4%