NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	87		Excitement	2.9 [1163]		MVP	Baron Davis (CHH): +7.8%
Charlotte Hornets	111		Comeback	1.0 [1117]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): -9.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jacque Vaughn	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.12	9	28%	0.03	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Strickland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	-0.00	-0.07	12	42%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cal Bowdler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	8	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	11	57%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Hanno Mottola	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	43%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	4	10%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	21	39%	-0.10	0	0.00	9	67%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	14	71%	0.12	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.12	-0.00	0.05	8	92%	0.09	2	-0.03	8	100%	0.01
Bryce Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	7	67%	0.05	2	-0.01	7	71%	0.01
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	4	85%	0.04	4	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Haston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Moiso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	5	36%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
David Wesley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	13	35%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	10	45%	0.02	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.0	26.5	15.0	21.5	2.0	26.4	118.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHH +37.3%

CHH +2.3%

CHH +6.1%

CHH +2.8%

CHH +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHH	NBA	ATL	CHH	NBA
this game	14.3	13.9	15.6	86.1	107.8	102.3
season	15.5	15.9		99.7	102.2
opponent	15.6	15.2		101.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.7	16.0	13.6	12.2	14.3
CHH	15.0	11.7	15.2	13.9	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Strickland	13	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-20	16	12.1	14.7	-2.59	10.9	14.4	-3.44
Dion Glover	44	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.09	-6	-18	12	13.1	15.3	-2.13	14.4	13.5	0.92
Nazr Mohammed	21	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.13	0	-24	24	15.0	14.2	0.78	16.2	13.3	2.96
Cal Bowdler	37	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.22	-13	-11	-2	13.2	15.0	-1.77	13.8	14.0	-0.14
DerMarr Johnson	47	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.19	-13	-11	-2	13.2	15.3	-2.14	14.4	13.4	1.00
Jacque Vaughn	48	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.21	-14	-10	-4	13.8	14.8	-1.08	13.4	14.4	-1.09
Jason Terry	53	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	-14	4	14.8	13.8	1.08	14.4	13.4	1.09
Toni Kukoc	51	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.08	-13	-11	-2	15.4	13.2	2.21	13.6	14.2	-0.67
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	69	70	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	-10	-4	14.9	13.2	1.68	13.8	14.2	-0.41
Hanno Mottola	65	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	-9	-6	14.6	13.8	0.83	13.8	14.1	-0.24
Emanual Davis	57	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	-6	-12	15.3	13.1	2.13	13.5	14.4	-0.92

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Baron Davis	93	92	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.31	26	-2	28	13.8	14.7	-0.88	14.3	14.2	0.13
Bryce Drew	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.37	28	-4	32	13.1	15.7	-2.60	14.7	13.5	1.14
Stacey Augmon	41	39	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.10	16	8	8	13.0	14.5	-1.42	14.7	14.1	0.62
Robert Traylor	41	40	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	5	14	12.1	15.1	-3.00	15.7	13.4	2.34
Elden Campbell	71	70	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.11	16	8	8	13.3	15.3	-2.09	14.4	14.2	0.16
Jamaal Magloire	32	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	16	-8	15.3	13.3	2.09	14.2	14.4	-0.16
P.J. Brown	52	52	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	25	-26	15.8	12.0	3.85	13.9	14.8	-0.89
David Wesley	55	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	28	-32	15.2	12.5	2.71	14.3	14.4	-0.03
Lee Nailon	45	45	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	26	-28	15.0	13.1	1.91	13.8	14.7	-0.93
Kirk Haston	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	18	-12	11.4	14.2	-2.77	10.6	14.7	-4.15
Jerome Moiso	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.23	8	16	-8	10.6	14.1	-3.47	10.2	14.5	-4.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 85, CLE 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.5%
CLE 99, TOR 133	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%
LAC 78, NYK 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%