NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	99		Excitement	9.8 [85]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +91.4%
New Jersey Nets	100		Comeback	24.0 [70]		LVP	Andres Nocioni (CHI): -21.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0.65	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.2,0.36,0.65	0.20	0.44	-0.01	13	79%	0.67	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.07
Chris Duhon	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16	0.07	0.11	0.02	6	79%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Michael Sweetney	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	8	78%	0.14	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.11,0,0.01	0.07	-0.06	-0.00	19	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	10%	-0.06	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Luol Deng	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	13	42%	-0.03	2	-0.09	5	100%	0.04
Othella Harrington	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	5	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Andres Nocioni	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22	-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	10	23%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.91	0.91	0.10	0.81	0.00	20	58%	0.95	2	-0.04	8	100%	0.15
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	0.00	8	68%	0.22	3	-0.19	9	78%	0.04
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	10	43%	-0.01	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.12	-0.03	27	43%	-0.06	4	-0.10	11	91%	0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	0.8	31.8	14.8	27.4	2.4	44.2	147.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -12.1%

NJN +55.5%

NJN +17.8%

CHI -18.9%

NJN +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NJN	NBA	CHI	NJN	NBA
this game	14.7	15.2	15.6	103.1	103.1	104.4
season	14.4	15.7		102.6	102.1
opponent	15.7	16.1		100.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.6	15.2	17.7	12.2	14.7
NJN	14.6	14.8	13.6	17.8	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	16	16	0.27	-0.77	1.03	-0.09	12	-13	25	13.7	14.8	-1.10	16.1	15.0	1.06
Darius Songaila	19	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	0	-1	17.7	13.9	3.76	15.2	15.2	-0.02
Michael Sweetney	50	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.09	2	-3	5	14.0	15.3	-1.31	15.9	14.4	1.53
Tyson Chandler	52	53	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.24	3	-4	7	15.0	14.3	0.64	16.2	14.0	2.23
Ben Gordon	61	61	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.49	8	-9	17	13.9	16.0	-2.14	16.0	13.8	2.22
Luol Deng	64	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.52	5	-6	11	14.3	15.4	-1.06	15.7	14.2	1.54
Othella Harrington	26	27	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	14	-29	15.0	14.6	0.40	12.9	16.1	-3.22
Chris Duhon	80	81	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	1	-3	14.6	14.8	-0.17	15.3	14.7	0.51
Andres Nocioni	48	49	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	12	-25	15.9	13.5	2.42	13.6	16.8	-3.16
Kirk Hinrich	64	64	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	3	-7	14.4	15.3	-0.92	14.3	16.9	-2.58

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	86	86	0.95	-0.45	1.41	0.51	15	-14	29	14.7	19.3	-4.62	15.2	10.4	4.76
Jason Kidd	81	81	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.30	15	-14	29	14.8	17.1	-2.26	14.6	15.2	-0.63
Richard Jefferson	89	88	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.40	11	-10	21	15.0	17.4	-2.40	15.1	10.2	4.82
Marc Jackson	24	23	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.83	-12	13	-25	16.7	14.7	1.98	13.5	15.0	-1.51
Nenad Krstic	68	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.00	14	-13	27	14.9	15.9	-0.98	15.3	13.0	2.32
Jason Collins	63	63	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.42	15	-14	29	14.3	16.8	-2.49	15.3	13.4	1.94
Jacque Vaughn	4	5	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	9	-17	13.7	15.2	-1.49	11.0	14.9	-3.87
Clifford Robinson	25	23	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.21	-13	14	-27	16.9	14.6	2.35	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Lamond Murray	7	6	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	9	-17	17.4	15.0	2.43	11.2	14.9	-3.73
Jeff McInnis	38	36	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.37	-24	25	-49	17.2	13.8	3.39	12.2	16.1	-3.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.75,0.76,0.83,0.72,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.78,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 106, MIA 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.71,0.62,0.47,0.63,0.47,0.73,0.9,0.84,0.84,0.85,1	91.6%
SAS 102, DAL 107	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.66,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.64,0.63,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.83,1	90.8%
IND 89, CHA 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.31,0.37,0.35,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.9,0.69,0.58,1	90.6%