NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	5.9 [636]		MVP	Eddie Jones (MEM): +28.0%
Orlando Magic	85		Comeback	1.4 [418]		LVP	Mike Miller (MEM): -17.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0.28	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28	0.14	0.15	0.01	16	66%	0.31	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19	0.04	0.14	-0.01	15	61%	0.28	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.02
Shane Battier	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.10	0.06	0.00	4	87%	0.20	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	14	57%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lorenzen Wright	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.01	7	36%	-0.05	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	4	75%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	59%	0.06	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Steve Francis	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.02	17	55%	0.02	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Terence Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.03	10	57%	0.01	1	-0.05	8	75%	-0.02
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	0.02	-0.03	14	32%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.02	4	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	31.3	16.6	31.0	2.5	36.7	142.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +55.2%

MEM +2.8%

ORL -5.0%

ORL -4.7%

MEM +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	ORL	NBA	MEM	ORL	NBA
this game	17.0	16.5	15.6	109.3	98.8	104.4
season	17.1	16.4		103.5	104.4
opponent	15.7	15.7		105.9	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.7	15.8	18.4	16.1	17.0
ORL	14.4	21.3	15.9	15.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie Jones	70	67	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-1	11	17.1	16.6	0.46	15.6	19.6	-3.97
Pau Gasol	77	76	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.22	10	-1	11	17.3	14.1	3.23	15.6	22.9	-7.26
Damon Stoudamire	60	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	1	7	16.9	17.3	-0.44	15.9	17.7	-1.81
Mike Miller	47	49	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.25	5	4	1	17.0	17.1	-0.09	16.4	16.5	-0.09
Lorenzen Wright	60	60	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	2	5	17.3	16.4	0.88	17.0	15.3	1.75
Shane Battier	58	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	2	5	16.4	18.3	-1.91	16.2	17.1	-0.86
Bobby Jackson	26	29	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	8	-7	17.3	16.9	0.44	17.7	15.9	1.81
John Thomas	10	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	7	-5	17.3	17.0	0.34	19.1	16.1	2.96
Dahntay Jones	16	19	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	10	-11	16.6	17.1	-0.46	19.6	15.6	3.97
Hakim Warrick	6	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	13	-17	15.8	17.1	-1.25	21.4	16.2	5.21

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	38	39	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.07	3	-12	15	15.7	17.1	-1.39	17.5	16.6	0.94
Bo Outlaw	42	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-6	3	17.0	16.0	0.91	16.7	17.3	-0.56
Terence Morris	20	18	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-6	3	18.8	15.8	3.01	18.5	16.6	1.90
Jameer Nelson	45	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-6	3	16.5	16.5	-0.05	18.0	16.0	1.95
DeShawn Stevenson	60	64	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.17	-4	-5	1	15.8	18.0	-2.11	16.4	18.8	-2.38
Dwight Howard	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-7	5	16.5	16.5	0.04	16.4	18.5	-2.08
Hedo Turkoglu	62	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	4	-17	17.0	15.0	2.01	16.7	17.7	-1.04
Steve Francis	74	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	-3	-3	15.9	20.3	-4.47	17.0	17.1	-0.10
Kelvin Cato	27	25	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.12	-14	5	-19	17.0	16.3	0.75	17.7	16.7	0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.43,0.33,0.28,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.03,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, ATL 99	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.03,0.02,0	94.1%
BOS 93, TOR 79	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.12,0.17,0.08,0.17,0.07,0,0,0,0	93.3%
NOP 92, MIN 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.4,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.27,0.32,0.14,0.29,0.18,0.14,0.03,0.07,0,0	93.0%