NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	92		Excitement	8.0 [272]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +95.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	94		Comeback	27.3 [62]		LVP	Robert Horry (SAS): -28.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Duncan	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25	0.06	0.20	0.00	13	59%	0.25	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.08	0.00	11	88%	0.31	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Beno Udrih	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	8	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.03	0.10	-0.00	8	44%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Brent Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.01	2	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.01	13	52%	0.09	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Sean Marks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	9	22%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	6	29%	-0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Robert Horry	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28	-0.11	-0.18	-0.00	10	18%	-0.28	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.96	0.96	0.13	0.83	0.01	21	62%	0.96	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.06
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	12	71%	0.19	1	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	67%	0.03	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.06
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	5	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	37%	-0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	6	43%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	33%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	5	18%	-0.10	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	1.5	28.4	15.7	26.2	1.8	40.1	134.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +79.6%

SAS -19.2%

SAS -12.4%

SAS -2.5%

MEM +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	MEM	NBA	SAS	MEM	NBA
this game	17.7	16.0	15.5	107.0	110.6	104.0
season	16.3	16.4		105.8	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.6		101.9	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.0	17.3	18.5	17.2	17.7
MEM	15.4	14.8	19.4	14.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glenn Robinson	44	43	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.03	13	-15	28	15.7	19.8	-4.04	14.8	17.1	-2.31
Brent Barry	42	42	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.07	9	-11	20	17.0	18.4	-1.32	15.1	16.8	-1.74
Robert Horry	36	37	0.33	-0.83	1.16	0.07	9	-11	20	17.7	17.7	-0.05	14.6	17.0	-2.45
Beno Udrih	50	49	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.02	5	-7	12	17.6	17.8	-0.19	16.8	14.7	2.09
Sean Marks	8	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	0	-2	15.5	17.9	-2.45	14.9	16.1	-1.19
Tony Massenburg	9	8	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	4	-10	20.4	17.4	3.04	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Tim Duncan	55	52	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.66	5	-7	12	16.6	19.8	-3.21	16.0	15.9	0.02
Mike Wilks	36	36	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.42	-7	5	-12	17.8	17.6	0.19	14.7	16.8	-2.09
Nazr Mohammed	54	53	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.38	-13	11	-24	18.6	16.3	2.24	16.9	14.3	2.63
Manu Ginobili	57	58	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.56	-7	5	-12	18.5	16.2	2.23	16.6	14.5	2.16
Bruce Bowen	39	38	-0.88	0.38	-1.26	-0.41	-16	14	-30	19.9	15.9	3.98	17.4	14.7	2.70

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Miller	58	59	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.42	14	-12	26	15.8	16.3	-0.50	18.3	16.5	1.81
Shane Battier	51	52	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.49	7	-5	12	16.8	14.7	2.13	18.7	16.3	2.36
Jason Williams	50	51	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.38	10	-8	18	16.3	15.5	0.84	18.7	16.3	2.37
Stromile Swift	43	44	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.43	4	-2	6	14.4	17.5	-3.06	17.5	17.9	-0.41
Pau Gasol	49	51	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	-4	10	17.5	13.9	3.63	18.7	16.3	2.32
Lorenzen Wright	50	47	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.22	5	-3	8	16.1	15.7	0.41	18.0	17.4	0.52
Earl Watson	35	35	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	10	-18	15.5	16.3	-0.84	16.3	18.7	-2.37
Bonzi Wells	34	34	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	7	-12	14.7	16.8	-2.13	16.3	18.7	-2.36
Brian Cardinal	28	30	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	0.04	-11	13	-24	15.3	16.3	-0.99	16.0	18.6	-2.59
James Posey	27	27	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.02	-12	14	-26	16.3	15.8	0.50	16.5	18.3	-1.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.48,0.65,0.8,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.32,0.16,0.09,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, MEM 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.77,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.37,0.22,0.27,1	90.1%
TOR 112, GSW 117	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.88,0.77,0.73,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.21,0.1,0.41,1	89.8%
MIL 89, MIA 91	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.65,0.77,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.53,0.65,0.62,0.39,0.37,0.23,0.27,1	89.3%