NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	100		Excitement	5.0 [860]		MVP	Keith McLeod (UTA): +9.2%
Utah Jazz	84		Comeback	2.4 [250]		LVP	Kirk Snyder (UTA): -13.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	13	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	9	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Thomas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	13	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Trenton Hassell	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Michael Olowokandi	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.03	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	14	69%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	12	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	-0.00	-0.09	11	37%	-0.03	2	-0.00	5	80%	0.03
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	9	32%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.02	14	30%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.7	25.1	15.7	26.0	2.0	26.2	123.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +16.8%

MIN +19.9%

MIN +15.0%

UTA -3.2%

MIN +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	UTA	NBA	MIN	UTA	NBA
this game	14.9	18.6	15.5	116.3	97.7	104.0
season	15.8	16.7		106.2	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.9		106.7	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.6	15.1	15.0	15.0	14.9
UTA	18.1	18.3	17.7	20.3	18.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wally Szczerbiak	56	55	0.64	-0.14	0.79	-0.06	24	-8	32	15.0	14.7	0.28	18.3	19.0	-0.72
Fred Hoiberg	42	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.04	16	0	16	13.7	16.1	-2.35	18.9	18.2	0.70
Sam Cassell	39	40	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.02	14	2	12	14.2	15.5	-1.26	18.1	19.0	-0.83
Michael Olowokandi	43	43	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	9	-2	16.0	13.9	2.07	19.8	17.3	2.44
Eddie Griffin	44	44	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.04	10	6	4	13.7	16.2	-2.53	17.1	20.1	-3.07
Kevin Garnett	56	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	7	2	15.2	14.3	0.95	18.9	17.8	1.12
Anthony Carter	19	18	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	7	2	14.6	15.0	-0.44	19.5	18.3	1.18
John Thomas	29	28	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.00	6	10	-4	14.6	15.1	-0.45	18.3	18.7	-0.42
Latrell Sprewell	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	16	-16	15.6	14.3	1.23	18.2	18.9	-0.67
Troy Hudson	28	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	23	-30	16.1	14.3	1.76	18.6	18.6	0.06
Trenton Hassell	33	34	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	24	-32	15.5	14.6	0.92	19.0	18.3	0.66

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Randy Livingston	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-17	18	17.2	18.6	-1.38	15.2	14.9	0.35
Ben Handlogten	25	22	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.03	-1	-15	14	18.2	18.7	-0.46	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Kris Humphries	29	29	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.06	-9	-7	-2	17.6	19.1	-1.43	13.9	15.4	-1.49
Keith McLeod	63	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-8	0	18.3	19.4	-1.12	15.1	14.5	0.58
Matt Harpring	69	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.02	-10	-6	-4	18.6	18.6	-0.10	15.2	13.6	1.59
Howard Eisley	30	31	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-5	-6	19.8	17.9	1.89	14.3	15.3	-1.03
Kirk Snyder	49	48	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.03	-9	-7	-2	17.8	19.6	-1.89	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Mehmet Okur	61	63	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.05	-12	-4	-8	19.2	17.0	2.27	15.3	14.0	1.25
Jarron Collins	55	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.13	-8	-8	0	18.6	18.5	0.18	15.2	14.5	0.68
Gordan Giricek	45	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.09	-13	-3	-10	19.0	18.1	0.95	15.0	14.9	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.18,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 120, CLE 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
CLE 94, NJN 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.37,0.29,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.15,0.03,0,0,0	93.4%
LAL 104, BKN 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.69,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.34,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0	93.4%