NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	91		Excitement	9.1 [128]		MVP	Mehmet Okur (UTA): +56.9%
Utah Jazz	93		Comeback	2.1 [763]		LVP	Jarron Collins (UTA): -40.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nazr Mohammed	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.13	-0.06	0.20	0.00	5	20%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	0.01	7	77%	0.09	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.03
Manu Ginobili	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	7	78%	0.16	3	-0.09	13	92%	0.08
Brent Barry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	7	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Sean Marks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	9	37%	-0.10	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	5	20%	-0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.32	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.04,-0.32	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	18	40%	-0.24	3	-0.09	7	43%	-0.07

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.19,0.57	0.57	0.04	0.52	-0.01	20	56%	0.59	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.01	10	68%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.07	0.02	9	71%	0.17	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.05
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Livingston	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	9	40%	0.04	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	13	52%	-0.04	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.4	-0.40	-0.16	-0.25	-0.01	6	25%	-0.36	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.21

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.6	1.8	25.2	15.5	28.3	2.4	37.3	142.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +59.0%

SAS -20.0%

UTA +11.5%

SAS -7.3%

UTA +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	17.6	15.5	103.4	106.9	104.0
season	16.3	16.7		105.8	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.7	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.3	14.8	12.9	17.1	15.3
UTA	15.6	21.2	19.0	14.8	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Duncan	38	37	0.36	-0.86	1.23	0.19	6	-8	14	15.2	15.4	-0.14	18.1	17.3	0.82
Manu Ginobili	55	55	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.29	16	-18	34	14.9	16.1	-1.19	18.1	16.7	1.46
Beno Udrih	23	23	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.02	6	-8	14	16.7	14.8	1.92	20.0	16.7	3.31
Tony Massenburg	19	19	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.16	9	-11	20	13.8	15.7	-1.95	21.9	16.4	5.55
Nazr Mohammed	49	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	3	-8	16.5	13.8	2.74	16.4	19.2	-2.75
Sean Marks	11	11	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	12	-26	16.5	15.2	1.30	11.4	18.5	-7.15
Brent Barry	45	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	9	-20	15.5	15.1	0.44	15.9	19.2	-3.32
Bruce Bowen	46	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.58	5	-7	12	14.9	15.7	-0.80	19.8	15.1	4.75
Robert Horry	56	57	-0.58	0.09	-0.67	-0.70	4	-6	10	15.1	15.7	-0.68	18.1	16.7	1.39
Tony Parker	67	65	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.38	-10	8	-18	14.6	17.5	-2.83	16.8	20.1	-3.38
Glenn Robinson	31	30	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.29	-16	14	-30	15.9	15.0	0.95	15.6	18.7	-3.07

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	68	69	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.58	9	-7	16	17.6	17.7	-0.16	15.0	16.4	-1.34
Matt Harpring	57	58	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-4	10	17.3	18.1	-0.80	16.4	13.2	3.16
Howard Eisley	51	50	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.30	9	-7	16	16.0	19.9	-3.94	15.8	14.6	1.21
Jarron Collins	48	50	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-5	12	16.1	19.4	-3.31	16.4	13.8	2.60
Mehmet Okur	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.50	-1	3	-4	18.2	13.5	4.65	15.8	12.2	3.55
Keith McLeod	37	39	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.26	-8	10	-18	19.5	16.2	3.31	14.3	16.1	-1.81
Ben Handlogten	19	18	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	3	-4	18.5	17.4	1.11	12.7	16.0	-3.33
Kris Humphries	30	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	2	-2	18.4	17.2	1.16	14.3	15.9	-1.59
Kirk Snyder	37	37	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.03	-3	5	-8	18.5	17.0	1.53	14.0	16.3	-2.27
Randy Livingston	12	12	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	-0.15	-8	10	-18	16.4	17.8	-1.38	15.8	15.2	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.59,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.89,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 85, IND 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.72,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.5,0.52,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.64,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.59,0.73,1	92.5%
UTA 98, LAL 102	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.98,1	90.4%
LAL 92, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.75,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.8,0.75,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.3,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.78,0.68,0.84,0.84,0.84,1	89.8%