NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	79		Excitement	3.6 [1111]		MVP	Randy Livingston (UTA): +5.5%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	2.2 [847]		LVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (POR): -13.5%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Viktor Khryapa	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.00	0.05	7	56%	-0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Richie Frahm	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	0.04	9	56%	-0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	6	72%	-0.00	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.03
Sebastian Telfair	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	13	43%	-0.01	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Ruben Patterson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	7	35%	-0.04	5	-0.09	3	67%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	5	73%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Ben Handlogten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.03	10	48%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	7	65%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kirk Snyder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.03	0.04	7	64%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Curtis Borchardt	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	5	18%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.06	11	37%	-0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	6	17%	-0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	17	45%	-0.04	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.7	28.1	15.7	26.2	2.4	26.6	126.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +21.6%

UTA +4.5%

UTA +5.5%

UTA +20.2%

POR -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.2	17.6	15.5	89.8	102.3	104.0
season	15.8	16.7		101.2	102.3
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.7	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.8	15.3	16.1	13.5	15.2
UTA	17.0	16.0	18.2	19.2	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ha Seung-Jin	24	24	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-12	13	14.2	15.5	-1.27	18.3	17.3	1.01
Richie Frahm	32	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.25	4	-15	19	14.0	15.8	-1.84	18.3	17.1	1.24
Damon Stoudamire	45	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-5	-1	16.2	14.1	2.11	16.9	18.2	-1.28
Ruben Patterson	40	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	-5	-1	15.7	14.7	1.06	17.1	17.9	-0.77
Viktor Khryapa	50	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-6	1	14.5	16.1	-1.60	17.9	17.1	0.77
Travis Outlaw	51	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.09	-8	-3	-5	14.5	16.1	-1.52	17.5	17.6	-0.16
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	54	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.03	-15	4	-19	16.1	13.7	2.34	17.1	18.3	-1.20
Joel Przybilla	64	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.07	-12	1	-13	15.5	14.2	1.27	17.3	18.3	-1.01
Sebastian Telfair	80	80	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	-3	-5	15.0	16.9	-1.87	17.9	13.6	4.33

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	59	57	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	-2	15	17.0	18.7	-1.69	14.9	15.6	-0.73
Matt Harpring	62	61	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	4	3	17.6	17.5	0.03	15.3	15.0	0.30
Mehmet Okur	53	52	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.30	0	11	-11	18.1	16.8	1.26	15.2	15.1	0.15
Kris Humphries	38	39	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	5	1	17.2	17.8	-0.66	15.2	15.1	0.11
Kirk Snyder	35	35	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.10	6	5	1	17.5	17.6	-0.12	14.8	15.4	-0.62
Randy Livingston	26	25	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.10	5	6	-1	18.1	17.3	0.74	15.6	15.0	0.66
Ben Handlogten	36	38	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	5	1	17.6	17.5	0.14	14.9	15.3	-0.39
Keith McLeod	42	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.03	6	5	1	18.0	17.2	0.80	16.1	14.3	1.86
Gordan Giricek	46	46	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.12	2	9	-7	17.9	17.2	0.75	15.0	15.4	-0.40
Howard Eisley	27	28	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.00	3	8	-5	15.9	18.3	-2.41	14.1	15.7	-1.61
Curtis Borchardt	16	17	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	10	-9	18.6	17.3	1.31	15.9	15.0	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 92, MEM 120	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
DET 93, DAL 110	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.56,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
BOS 78, NYK 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%