NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	105		Excitement	5.0 [851]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +14.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	96		Comeback	1.7 [345]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): -6.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.13	0.02	0.01	8	88%	0.15	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	11	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.01	15	61%	0.08	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Troy Hudson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	12	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	48%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Sam Cassell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.00	0.08	10	62%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	9	39%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	17	54%	-0.01	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.04	16	59%	0.01	2	-0.06	12	75%	0.00
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	0.06	5	70%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	13	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.9	3.4	30.4	19.4	29.4	3.5	29.9	142.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +37.7%

LAL -1.3%

MIN +0.3%

MIN +6.5%

MIN +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAL	NBA	MIN	LAL	NBA
this game	16.7	16.3	15.5	120.7	109.1	104.0
season	15.8	15.7		106.2	105.8
opponent	15.3	15.9		108.8	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.9	15.7	15.5	20.7	16.7
LAL	16.4	18.6	17.2	13.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	69	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.20	11	-2	13	16.6	17.0	-0.43	16.1	16.8	-0.74
Troy Hudson	48	49	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	-4	17	15.6	17.9	-2.30	17.3	14.9	2.45
Latrell Sprewell	52	53	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-4	17	15.1	18.9	-3.83	17.4	14.5	2.90
Eddie Griffin	33	34	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-1	11	16.3	16.9	-0.62	16.5	16.1	0.39
Wally Szczerbiak	52	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.16	4	5	-1	17.9	14.8	3.15	14.9	18.2	-3.28
Trenton Hassell	55	57	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	7	-5	16.6	16.8	-0.20	16.2	16.3	-0.09
Michael Olowokandi	54	54	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.23	-1	10	-11	16.9	16.3	0.62	16.1	16.5	-0.39
Sam Cassell	39	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	13	-17	17.9	15.6	2.30	14.8	17.4	-2.54
Fred Hoiberg	15	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	10	-11	17.9	16.4	1.46	17.0	16.1	0.89
Anthony Carter	0	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	9	-9	0.0	16.7	-16.66	18.0	16.2	1.76
John Thomas	18	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.03	-2	11	-13	17.0	16.6	0.43	16.8	16.1	0.74

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Slava Medvedenko	13	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-9	9	17.2	16.1	1.05	14.7	17.0	-2.31
Chris Mihm	56	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.27	6	-15	21	15.9	16.8	-0.87	17.0	16.0	1.02
Luke Walton	36	36	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-11	13	14.2	17.7	-3.50	18.7	15.2	3.48
Chucky Atkins	47	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.16	0	-9	9	18.0	14.3	3.69	15.6	17.9	-2.31
Jumaine Jones	32	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-1	-7	19.1	14.7	4.40	16.1	16.9	-0.80
Tierre Brown	22	23	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	1	-11	16.0	16.3	-0.35	15.8	17.0	-1.19
Devean George	50	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-3	-3	14.7	18.3	-3.52	17.7	15.4	2.28
Caron Butler	76	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	16.2	16.7	-0.57	16.7	16.2	0.47
Kobe Bryant	74	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.23	-7	-2	-5	16.3	16.1	0.14	16.8	15.9	0.95
Brian Grant	34	35	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	7	-23	16.1	16.3	-0.19	15.3	17.6	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.31,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.13,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 111, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0	95.0%
NOK 96, ATL 77	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.14,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
PHX 110, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.27,0.19,0.07,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.5%