NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	102		Excitement	3.2 [1173]		MVP	Pat Garrity (ORL): +1.9%
Orlando Magic	109		Comeback	1.0 [1268]		LVP	Tony Delk (ATL): -7.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Royal Ivey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Donta Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.01	10	56%	0.01	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	14	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Obinna Ekezie	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Tom Gugliotta	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.01	0.03	10	59%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	0.05	9	58%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Tony Delk	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	14	41%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	60%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	12	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	2	71%	0.02	3	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	55%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	18	59%	0.05	4	-0.04	15	80%	-0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	71%	0.05	4	-0.04	6	83%	0.02
Mario Kasun	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	4	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Mark Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.16	0.01	-0.10	18	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	485.2	1.5	33.4	16.4	29.4	2.7	29.2	597.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +27.0%

ORL +7.8%

ORL +11.5%

ORL +4.8%

ATL -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	ORL	NBA	ATL	ORL	NBA
this game	15.0	13.4	15.5	101.0	106.9	104.0
season	15.6	14.3		98.1	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		105.1	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	14.1	15.6	15.0	15.0
ORL	12.0	14.1	13.8	13.8	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donta Smith	32	33	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.45	16	-23	39	13.2	15.8	-2.64	12.2	14.0	-1.74
Royal Ivey	26	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.44	14	-21	35	12.4	15.9	-3.47	12.8	13.6	-0.83
Boris Diaw	22	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-16	25	10.0	16.3	-6.28	12.9	13.6	-0.65
Predrag Drobnjak	15	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-2	-3	16.1	14.8	1.30	15.8	13.0	2.74
Obinna Ekezie	42	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-6	5	16.2	14.1	2.15	14.8	12.4	2.37
Jason Collier	36	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.07	-10	3	-13	15.4	14.7	0.67	11.9	14.3	-2.37
Tony Delk	59	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	2	-11	15.3	14.5	0.87	13.6	13.1	0.52
Tom Gugliotta	68	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	5	-17	14.5	15.9	-1.36	13.2	13.9	-0.71
Tyronn Lue	58	58	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.16	-19	12	-31	17.2	12.0	5.16	14.1	12.6	1.50
Josh Smith	65	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.08	-12	5	-17	15.2	14.6	0.54	13.5	13.3	0.25
Josh Childress	82	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	-1	-5	15.2	14.1	1.12	13.3	14.0	-0.69

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steve Francis	86	87	0.51	-0.01	0.53	-0.13	22	-15	37	12.9	16.1	-3.21	15.4	12.4	2.94
Grant Hill	62	62	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-3	13	12.8	14.4	-1.65	14.9	15.0	-0.11
Kelvin Cato	41	41	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.06	13	-6	19	13.8	13.2	0.64	16.4	14.0	2.45
Dwight Howard	72	73	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-1	9	12.7	15.1	-2.42	15.0	15.0	-0.01
DeShawn Stevenson	82	82	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.46	-8	15	-23	14.2	10.2	3.95	15.2	13.9	1.31
Pat Garrity	46	44	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.30	-4	11	-15	14.8	12.2	2.60	15.0	14.9	0.03
Mark Jones	42	39	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	9	-11	14.1	12.9	1.23	15.1	14.9	0.27
Jameer Nelson	7	7	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.09	8	-1	9	10.4	13.6	-3.21	13.7	15.1	-1.34
Tony Battie	28	28	0.10	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	2	3	13.6	13.3	0.31	16.9	14.2	2.67
Brandon Hunter	29	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.38	-10	17	-27	12.5	13.8	-1.31	11.5	16.3	-4.83
Stacey Augmon	9	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	3	1	12.6	13.5	-0.95	12.7	15.2	-2.40
Mario Kasun	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.32	-11	18	-29	15.0	13.3	1.68	5.4	15.5	-10.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.62,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 87, CHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.87,0.91,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
LAL 85, SAS 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
ATL 67, CLE 81	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.77,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%