inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 86 Excitement3.1 [1191] MVPMichael Finley (DAL): +17.7%
Dallas Mavericks 117 Comeback1.2 [1116] LVPDirk Nowitzki (DAL): -9.4%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lucious Harris0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.02383%0.0300.0000%0.00
Ira Newble0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.01-0.01-0.02756%0.041-0.02250%-0.00
DeSagana Diop0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.0010.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.090.00-0.0930%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Jiri Welsch-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05340%-0.001-0.00450%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.010,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.011052%0.011-0.025100%0.02
Robert Traylor-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeff McInnis-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.08-0.00-0.07729%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.08-0.000.11978%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.021348%-0.0400.00786%0.01
Eric Snow-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.0120%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
LeBron James-0.060,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.02-0.031747%-0.023-0.03683%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.260.000.091493%0.1800.0000%0.00
Jason Terry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.09-0.000.01874%0.0800.00367%-0.01
Shawn Bradley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.013100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Josh Howard0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.000.00955%0.0300.002100%0.01
Marquis Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.00-0.00654%0.0200.001100%0.01
Darrell Armstrong00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pavel Podkolzin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0400%0.0020.0000%0.00
DJ Mbenga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.021100%0.0020.0000%0.00
Keith Van Horn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.06-0.000.061661%0.021-0.03667%-0.02
Alan Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.03456%0.012-0.011100%0.00
Devin Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.070.000.10780%-0.011-0.0210%-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.14-0.01-0.051237%-0.053-0.05683%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.12.444.84.726.20.825.9131.8
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DAL +42.1%
CLE -0.9%
DAL +3.4%
DAL +3.3%
DAL +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEDALNBACLEDALNBA
this game16.614.915.594.5127.2104.0
season16.214.9104.6108.2
opponent15.515.3103.4103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE18.016.917.114.416.6
DAL14.712.613.619.214.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robert Traylor11120.01-0.510.53-0.021-323315.416.8-1.4416.114.71.41
Sasha Pavlovic31300.00-0.500.510.21-7-241714.817.5-2.7117.013.83.13
DeSagana Diop660.00-0.500.500.000-313111.017.0-6.0222.214.37.82
Jiri Welsch2221-0.01-0.490.490.23-8-231514.417.3-2.9219.213.65.61
Lucious Harris4041-0.20-0.300.100.21-14-17315.717.3-1.6116.113.82.28
Jeff McInnis3635-0.23-0.270.040.36-20-11-916.616.60.0213.915.4-1.52
Anderson Varejao4442-0.25-0.250.000.42-23-8-1516.117.1-0.9516.313.72.63
Drew Gooden5659-0.25-0.25-0.000.01-9-221316.916.20.7414.815.0-0.22
Eric Snow4042-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-10-211117.615.91.7413.316.2-2.89
Ira Newble5151-0.30-0.20-0.100.20-17-14-317.315.71.6113.816.1-2.28
Zydrunas Ilgauskas5051-0.500.00-0.500.20-24-7-1717.815.22.6013.416.7-3.33
LeBron James6870-0.510.01-0.520.19-24-7-1717.514.03.4613.519.1-5.56

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Terry56550.490.010.48-0.272652113.816.5-2.7418.114.43.75
Michael Finley71690.470.030.44-0.4732-13314.017.7-3.6417.115.11.97
Keith Van Horn51500.400.100.30-0.422832514.016.0-1.9716.117.3-1.21
Shawn Bradley28280.320.180.15-0.181714313.215.6-2.3619.615.34.31
Marquis Daniels49490.290.210.08-0.302011915.414.31.1315.318.2-2.90
Dirk Nowitzki58600.280.220.06-0.572922713.916.5-2.6517.714.53.30
Josh Howard48470.210.29-0.07-0.081021-1113.616.2-2.5817.815.42.36
Devin Harris38390.040.46-0.43-0.14625-1916.513.72.7515.217.7-2.53
Darrell Armstrong14140.000.50-0.500.03-132-3321.413.77.6613.417.2-3.86
Pavel Podkolzin880.000.50-0.500.06-233-3521.614.27.4110.517.2-6.72
DJ Mbenga880.000.50-0.500.06-233-3521.614.27.4110.517.2-6.72
Alan Henderson3128-0.000.50-0.510.23-839-4716.114.21.9215.717.0-1.32


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CLE 73, POR 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.8,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
CLE 99, LAL 1150.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
DEN 81, SEA 1080.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%