NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	84		Excitement	3.4 [1147]		MVP	Anthony Johnson (IND): +5.8%
Indiana Pacers	103		Comeback	1.1 [1210]		LVP	Curtis Borchardt (UTA): -5.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	63%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	65%	0.07	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Raja Bell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Ben Handlogten	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.04	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.00
Randy Livingston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	5	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Kirk Snyder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.06	3	83%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	1	125%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	1	17%	-0.04	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	67%	0.07	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	11	52%	0.04	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
John Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dale Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.08	16	64%	0.02	2	-0.03	12	100%	0.05
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	9	41%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	3	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.7	27.6	15.6	26.2	1.8	32.2	130.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +5.6%

IND +18.6%

IND +20.7%

IND +5.4%

UTA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	16.6	16.9	15.5	97.7	119.8	104.0
season	16.7	16.8		102.3	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		101.6	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.6	16.3	17.6	15.0	16.6
IND	15.1	19.7	16.7	16.3	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Handlogten	22	21	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.20	9	-28	37	13.9	17.5	-3.62	17.3	16.8	0.53
Kirk Snyder	17	17	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-22	25	13.9	17.3	-3.39	17.7	16.7	1.02
Randy Livingston	28	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-20	21	15.2	17.3	-2.06	18.1	16.3	1.84
Howard Eisley	22	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-18	17	17.0	16.5	0.47	16.9	16.9	0.04
Gordan Giricek	45	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-19	19	15.6	17.7	-2.11	18.1	15.6	2.43
Kris Humphries	26	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.03	-7	-12	5	16.2	16.8	-0.65	16.7	17.0	-0.33
Mehmet Okur	52	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.08	-11	-8	-3	15.8	17.8	-1.97	16.5	17.5	-0.97
Curtis Borchardt	22	23	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-5	-9	19.4	15.6	3.77	17.1	16.8	0.34
Matt Harpring	53	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.16	-19	0	-19	17.4	15.3	2.11	17.3	16.2	1.10
Raja Bell	41	42	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	0	-19	17.7	15.6	2.11	15.6	18.1	-2.43
Andrei Kirilenko	66	64	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	-1	-17	17.4	13.9	3.46	16.5	18.0	-1.50
Keith McLeod	36	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	0	-19	17.5	16.0	1.49	15.9	17.6	-1.66

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	40	42	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.21	23	-4	27	16.8	16.9	-0.06	16.8	16.4	0.40
Stephen Jackson	58	58	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.24	23	-4	27	16.6	17.5	-0.97	17.5	14.8	2.70
Jeff Foster	52	51	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.24	23	-4	27	16.9	16.8	0.15	17.8	14.9	2.90
Dale Davis	45	48	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.19	21	-2	23	16.5	17.3	-0.83	17.1	15.9	1.18
Anthony Johnson	54	55	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.13	18	1	17	16.2	18.1	-1.88	17.3	15.4	1.90
Scot Pollard	25	23	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	18	-17	17.8	16.5	1.29	15.6	17.0	-1.42
Eddie Gill	32	31	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	18	-17	18.1	16.2	1.88	15.4	17.3	-1.90
James Jones	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	21	-23	18.2	16.2	2.00	14.9	17.5	-2.57
Fred Jones	43	42	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.21	-6	25	-31	16.4	17.3	-0.93	16.4	16.8	-0.44
Austin Croshere	44	45	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	27	-35	16.4	17.4	-0.93	15.8	17.5	-1.73
John Edwards	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	18	-17	18.8	16.7	2.10	11.8	16.9	-5.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
TOR 94, WAS 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.88,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
PHX 114, GSW 129	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%