NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	97		Excitement	5.2 [817]		MVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): +15.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	102		Comeback	4.0 [678]		LVP	Jason Hart (CHA): -11.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Kapono	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	9	75%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	83%	0.10	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.01
Malik Allen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Carroll	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	41%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.04
Melvin Ely	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	14	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	0.02	11	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Theron Smith	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Hart	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.01	15	40%	-0.10	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.02	0.08	-0.09	25	54%	0.20	4	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.01	4	90%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	7	47%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
John Thomas	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	0.03	19	52%	0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	-0.01	2	-0.06	11	100%	0.05
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	28.9	15.7	23.4	2.6	40.3	134.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +33.2%

MIN +17.8%

CHA -10.7%

MIN +6.1%

MIN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	MIN	NBA	CHA	MIN	NBA
this game	15.7	14.8	15.5	102.1	108.5	104.0
season	15.5	15.8		99.0	106.2
opponent	15.9	15.1		104.6	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.9	17.3	21.0	11.7	15.7
MIN	16.1	14.0	13.9	15.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Melvin Ely	14	14	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-9	13	15.6	15.7	-0.12	17.6	14.3	3.34
Matt Carroll	17	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-9	13	15.1	15.8	-0.68	14.1	14.9	-0.81
Jason Hart	76	76	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.34	10	-15	25	15.3	17.1	-1.72	14.6	15.5	-0.87
Theron Smith	25	24	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	1	-7	16.9	15.2	1.69	14.7	14.8	-0.12
Jason Kapono	35	36	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-12	19	13.8	16.7	-2.92	16.7	13.6	3.12
Keith Bogans	46	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.01	-9	4	-13	16.8	14.6	2.23	13.7	15.8	-2.17
Gerald Wallace	69	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-1	-3	15.5	16.2	-0.77	14.5	15.7	-1.28
Primoz Brezec	71	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-8	11	15.9	14.9	1.07	14.6	15.4	-0.79
Malik Allen	27	26	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	6	-17	15.2	15.9	-0.63	16.0	14.3	1.66
Cory Alexander	19	18	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	10	-25	17.1	15.3	1.72	15.5	14.6	0.87
Emeka Okafor	76	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.28	-8	3	-11	15.7	15.7	-0.08	14.3	16.8	-2.54

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	61	62	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.14	17	-12	29	15.4	13.6	1.84	16.5	14.1	2.38
Trenton Hassell	46	46	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.24	6	-1	7	15.5	14.1	1.37	16.4	15.0	1.35
Fred Hoiberg	29	31	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	2	1	16.3	14.1	2.14	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Kevin Garnett	76	76	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	4	-3	14.4	16.5	-2.11	15.9	14.6	1.30
Anthony Carter	55	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.16	5	0	5	14.4	15.4	-0.96	14.7	17.0	-2.29
Latrell Sprewell	73	73	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.34	-3	8	-11	14.2	16.7	-2.47	15.7	15.6	0.11
Wally Szczerbiak	52	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.06	9	-4	13	14.3	15.5	-1.18	14.7	16.9	-2.16
Troy Hudson	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	5	-5	15.4	14.4	0.96	17.0	14.7	2.29
Ervin Johnson	3	2	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	7	-9	9.0	15.0	-5.99	13.5	15.7	-2.22
John Thomas	36	37	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.23	-11	16	-27	14.8	14.8	0.06	14.9	16.2	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.28,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.6,0.71,0.74,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 83, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.16,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.59,0.53,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
PHI 76, WAS 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
ATL 90, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.52,0.56,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.78,0.89,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%