NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	5.4 [764]		MVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): +30.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	99		Comeback	1.2 [589]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -19.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.19	0.09	-0.02	18	75%	0.31	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jim Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	6	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.05
Shawn Marion	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	15	49%	0.03	2	-0.06	7	86%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	17	51%	-0.03	0	0.00	9	89%	0.02
Walter McCarty	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	10	46%	-0.03	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	21	55%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	22	55%	0.10	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	4	33%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	9	52%	-0.05	1	-0.04	9	67%	-0.04
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.02	10	36%	-0.05	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.17	-0.05	-0.03	13	15%	-0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.5	27.8	15.8	22.3	1.7	37.3	134.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +43.6%

PHX +0.1%

PHX +3.4%

PHX +1.5%

PHX +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	13.9	16.4	15.5	114.6	105.3	104.0
season	13.5	16.5		112.9	109.5
opponent	15.6	16.0		107.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.2	14.1	14.5	14.9	13.9
SEA	17.8	15.9	17.6	14.5	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	82	82	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.09	17	-6	23	14.3	11.9	2.33	16.7	14.6	2.11
Jim Jackson	56	54	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.06	17	-6	23	13.2	14.8	-1.60	15.9	17.1	-1.17
Joe Johnson	79	77	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	6	-1	13.4	16.5	-3.17	16.0	18.5	-2.50
Leandro Barbosa	37	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.09	8	3	5	14.2	13.7	0.53	16.2	16.6	-0.45
Steve Nash	67	65	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	4	3	13.8	14.3	-0.51	16.5	16.3	0.12
Amar'e Stoudemire	72	71	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.12	6	5	1	14.0	13.7	0.33	17.0	14.8	2.18
Steven Hunter	24	23	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.06	5	6	-1	13.7	14.0	-0.33	14.8	17.0	-2.18
Walter McCarty	34	32	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.22	-2	13	-15	14.6	13.6	0.99	15.6	16.8	-1.21
Quentin Richardson	29	28	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.07	-8	19	-27	15.0	13.5	1.50	19.0	15.3	3.72

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Collison	8	9	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-9	7	16.9	16.4	0.49	13.4	14.0	-0.52
Reggie Evans	41	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-10	9	17.9	15.3	2.53	13.8	14.0	-0.28
Luke Ridnour	56	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-8	5	17.0	15.6	1.47	13.3	14.9	-1.62
Jerome James	50	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-14	17	17.2	15.5	1.70	14.9	12.8	2.02
Ray Allen	75	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-4	-3	16.4	16.5	-0.06	14.2	12.5	1.74
Danny Fortson	33	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.03	-11	0	-11	16.4	16.4	-0.05	12.6	14.7	-2.10
Rashard Lewis	82	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-3	-5	16.4	16.4	0.01	14.1	12.6	1.57
Antonio Daniels	62	63	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.13	-13	2	-15	15.3	18.7	-3.38	14.0	13.7	0.38
Vladimir Radmanovic	63	64	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	2	-15	15.4	18.4	-2.97	13.8	14.1	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 93, WAS 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0,0	94.5%
ORL 114, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.26,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
IND 93, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.51,0.44,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%