NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	111		Excitement	6.6 [527]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +11.1%
Orlando Magic	114		Comeback	1.5 [942]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (SAC): -16.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.11	0.11	-0.00	-0.00	12	80%	0.22	3	-0.11	11	100%	0.08
Brian Skinner	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	10	60%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	13	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Corliss Williamson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	62%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Eddie House	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	26	47%	-0.02	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.08	0.03	14	47%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.08	0.00	5	60%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	14	67%	0.19	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	12	62%	0.07	0	0.00	8	100%	0.05
Kelvin Cato	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.01	8	65%	0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	4	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	20	59%	0.12	3	-0.08	9	56%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	17	54%	0.10	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	31.5	16.7	21.9	2.5	37.5	135.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +32.4%

SAC -1.6%

ORL +11.3%

ORL +4.5%

ORL +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ORL	NBA	SAC	ORL	NBA
this game	15.4	15.7	15.5	119.4	123.9	104.0
season	14.7	14.3		108.1	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.6		105.1	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.7	14.7	17.4	15.1	15.4
ORL	13.5	14.7	17.7	17.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eddie House	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-3	3	16.1	15.4	0.77	15.6	15.7	-0.15
Maurice Evans	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-2	1	13.1	15.7	-2.65	17.0	15.5	1.47
Corliss Williamson	34	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-7	11	14.6	15.9	-1.33	17.0	14.9	2.10
Kenny Thomas	37	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-3	3	15.0	15.7	-0.76	17.4	14.5	2.97
Brian Skinner	67	66	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.34	1	-4	5	15.8	14.5	1.34	15.2	17.0	-1.86
Darius Songaila	68	66	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-1	-1	15.5	15.3	0.21	15.3	16.7	-1.37
Mike Bibby	86	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.41	-3	0	-3	15.4	16.1	-0.77	15.7	15.6	0.15
Peja Stojakovic	78	76	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.28	-9	6	-15	15.4	15.5	-0.04	15.3	17.7	-2.40
Cuttino Mobley	77	77	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.43	-5	2	-7	16.0	12.7	3.24	15.3	17.9	-2.66

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	77	78	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-7	17	15.6	16.3	-0.75	15.6	14.5	1.15
Kelvin Cato	65	68	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	-3	9	15.3	16.7	-1.46	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Dwight Howard	69	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	-8	19	14.6	19.0	-4.39	16.1	13.6	2.49
Hedo Turkoglu	23	23	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	-6	15	15.7	15.7	0.04	15.3	15.5	-0.17
Steve Francis	73	74	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.36	0	3	-3	15.4	17.0	-1.63	15.6	14.7	0.94
Tony Battie	42	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.41	-6	9	-15	17.5	14.2	3.30	15.5	15.4	0.12
Grant Hill	66	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.20	0	3	-3	15.6	16.0	-0.36	15.3	15.8	-0.58
Stacey Augmon	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.16	-3	6	-9	17.8	15.0	2.88	15.4	15.4	-0.02
Pat Garrity	8	9	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	8	-13	19.2	15.4	3.88	11.4	15.9	-4.41
Doug Christie	13	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	10	-17	14.8	15.8	-1.00	14.3	15.6	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.86,0.71,0.78,0.89,0.89,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.96,0.95,0.99,1,1	93.1%
MIA 85, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.75,0.8,0.9,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	92.9%
PHX 92, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.69,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.96,1	92.8%