NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	79		Excitement	4.5 [936]		MVP	Tim Thomas (NYK): +9.3%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	1.6 [945]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -15.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	12	56%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Scot Pollard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	2	83%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Gill	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	8	56%	-0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.01	9	28%	-0.08	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.01	17	52%	-0.05	4	-0.10	12	67%	-0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.01	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	15	53%	0.13	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Sweetney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	0.06	9	71%	0.02	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.02
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	-0.02	-0.03	19	44%	-0.03	5	-0.13	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	1.0	28.1	17.4	26.6	2.5	35.2	133.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.8%

IND -7.8%

NYK +7.4%

NYK +6.7%

IND -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	17.0	15.6	15.5	89.8	101.1	104.0
season	16.8	15.8		101.9	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.5		106.5	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.0	18.1	17.1	14.6	17.0
NYK	14.7	14.6	14.2	18.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	40	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-13	15	18.1	16.1	2.06	15.5	15.6	-0.05
James Jones	19	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-15	19	13.7	17.9	-4.16	17.1	15.1	2.06
Reggie Miller	56	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-10	9	17.9	15.5	2.36	15.9	14.9	0.96
David Harrison	24	23	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.09	-8	-3	-5	15.0	17.7	-2.75	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Anthony Johnson	54	55	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-11	11	16.6	17.6	-0.96	16.3	14.4	1.84
Stephen Jackson	50	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.03	-8	-3	-5	17.9	15.8	2.08	15.1	16.1	-0.97
Eddie Gill	34	34	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.02	-10	-1	-9	16.3	17.4	-1.15	14.1	16.5	-2.37
Jermaine O'Neal	67	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	17.6	15.0	2.69	16.1	13.8	2.28
Austin Croshere	37	37	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	-13	2	-15	17.6	16.6	0.98	14.1	16.6	-2.47
Fred Jones	59	60	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.13	-15	4	-19	16.2	18.7	-2.47	15.7	15.2	0.56

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anfernee Hardaway	51	50	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.11	17	-6	23	15.9	15.1	0.73	16.4	17.8	-1.48
Kurt Thomas	70	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	0	11	15.8	14.5	1.37	17.0	17.1	-0.15
Stephon Marbury	72	71	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.14	7	4	3	15.6	15.5	0.03	16.8	17.8	-0.95
Tim Thomas	65	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.11	8	3	5	15.4	16.0	-0.56	17.0	17.1	-0.18
Jerome Williams	39	38	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.02	11	0	11	14.4	16.5	-2.08	17.3	16.8	0.56
Trevor Ariza	24	24	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	7	-3	15.2	15.7	-0.53	18.0	16.6	1.43
Jamal Crawford	75	73	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	10	-9	16.1	12.5	3.62	16.7	18.6	-1.93
Malik Rose	16	15	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	6	-1	15.9	15.5	0.40	17.2	17.0	0.24
Maurice Taylor	10	8	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	13	-15	15.2	15.6	-0.39	15.5	17.1	-1.65
Michael Sweetney	23	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	18	-25	14.8	15.8	-0.98	18.9	16.3	2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 85, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1	96.2%
UTA 92, SEA 106	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.69,0.62,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.72,0.75,0.88,0.81,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.9,0.93,0.83,0.86,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MEM 92, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%