NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	86		Excitement	6.9 [456]		MVP	Tierre Brown (LAL): +20.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	83		Comeback	2.7 [244]		LVP	Darius Miles (POR): -20.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tierre Brown	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.09	0.11	-0.01	7	79%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	17	66%	0.24	5	-0.17	13	100%	0.14
Slava Medvedenko	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Luke Walton	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	35%	-0.04	2	-0.06	1	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	24	48%	0.07	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.05	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	15	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	55%	-0.00	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.04
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	7	44%	-0.02	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.05
Nick Van Exel	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	12	29%	-0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.18	-0.05	-0.02	6	0%	-0.12	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	30.0	16.4	26.1	1.8	34.2	135.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +29.9%

LAL +31.7%

POR -13.5%

POR -3.2%

LAL +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	POR	NBA	LAL	POR	NBA
this game	17.0	16.3	15.5	100.0	95.4	104.0
season	15.7	15.8		105.8	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.4	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	18.2	14.9	21.1	17.0
POR	16.0	17.0	15.7	16.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	64	65	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.34	17	-14	31	17.0	17.0	-0.00	16.6	15.6	0.95
Lamar Odom	66	67	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-3	9	16.2	19.3	-3.12	16.0	17.3	-1.31
Tierre Brown	35	34	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-10	23	17.1	16.8	0.27	18.3	15.1	3.25
Brian Grant	42	41	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.20	7	-4	11	16.3	17.6	-1.31	16.0	16.6	-0.61
Kobe Bryant	79	80	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.31	1	2	-1	16.5	22.6	-6.12	15.8	23.0	-7.24
Slava Medvedenko	20	20	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	-4	11	16.8	17.0	-0.20	16.6	16.3	0.40
Chucky Atkins	51	53	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.38	-10	13	-23	16.8	17.1	-0.27	15.1	18.3	-3.25
Brian Cook	22	22	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	6	-9	18.2	16.5	1.71	17.1	16.1	1.06
Luke Walton	29	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.18	-12	15	-27	18.3	16.3	2.05	17.4	15.8	1.60
Chris Mihm	22	24	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.14	-11	14	-25	19.3	16.2	3.12	16.7	16.2	0.56

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	5	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.00	-2	-1	-1	17.8	16.3	1.54	19.5	16.8	2.74
Zach Randolph	60	61	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-7	11	16.1	16.9	-0.79	16.4	18.2	-1.76
Damon Stoudamire	74	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.33	5	-8	13	16.1	17.7	-1.58	16.9	17.2	-0.31
Joel Przybilla	72	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.37	5	-8	13	15.3	21.5	-6.19	16.3	19.9	-3.53
Theo Ratliff	15	15	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	-8	5	-13	21.5	15.3	6.19	19.9	16.3	3.53
Nick Van Exel	77	76	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.45	5	-8	13	15.6	21.8	-6.16	17.3	14.4	2.89
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	47	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-4	5	16.9	15.6	1.29	18.2	15.5	2.72
Darius Miles	21	21	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.05	-13	10	-23	19.3	15.4	3.88	15.8	17.3	-1.58
Ruben Patterson	64	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.22	-12	9	-21	16.2	16.8	-0.60	16.3	18.6	-2.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.15,0.22,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, POR 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.01,0,0	92.5%
DAL 112, PHX 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.15,0.07,0.01,0.02,0	92.3%
CLE 97, CHH 91	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.55,0.55,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.02,0	92.2%