NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	97		Excitement	9.0 [140]		MVP	Ron Mercer (NJN): +7.3%
New Jersey Nets	107		Comeback	13.4 [139]		LVP	Nenad Krstic (NJN): -19.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.08	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.13	-0.00	15	70%	-0.01	3	-0.05	10	70%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	10	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	12	44%	0.01	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.04
Andre Iguodala	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	12	42%	-0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	-0.16	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.04	-0.12	-0.00	16	55%	-0.02	4	-0.15	6	83%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Mercer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.05	0.02	12	58%	0.12	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.09,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,-0.08,-0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	32	59%	0.24	6	-0.17	9	89%	0.03
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	18	55%	0.07	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elden Campbell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.09	0.01	6	69%	0.06	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.01
Billy Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.15	-0.01	6	25%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	0.01	8	26%	-0.15	1	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.3	1.8	27.8	16.7	24.3	1.5	34.8	1.7	12.5	143.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +22.2%

NJN +10.2%

NJN +16.0%

NJN +2.5%

PHI -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	15.5	97.0	103.9	104.0
season	13.9	16.0		101.1	99.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		101.6	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	15.3	13.9	12.8	16.3	15.6	14.6
NJN	17.4	16.1	17.0	15.7	17.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	58	59	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.09	3	-13	16	15.2	13.9	1.27	16.8	16.5	0.36
Marc Jackson	33	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-8	6	13.6	15.1	-1.54	15.9	17.0	-1.16
John Salmons	18	19	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	0	-10	15.3	14.5	0.78	16.5	16.7	-0.23
Aaron McKie	32	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	2	-14	15.0	14.5	0.58	14.8	17.6	-2.74
Andre Iguodala	77	78	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-12	14	14.6	14.8	-0.24	17.3	14.8	2.51
Kenny Thomas	70	73	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.35	1	-11	12	14.2	15.8	-1.61	17.2	15.2	2.01
Willie Green	83	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.35	0	-10	10	14.4	16.0	-1.64	16.7	16.5	0.23
Kyle Korver	91	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.16	-10	0	-10	14.5	15.6	-1.01	16.8	15.0	1.82
Corliss Williamson	38	40	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.17	-22	12	-34	15.9	13.9	2.07	16.0	17.1	-1.04

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ron Mercer	45	43	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.36	14	-4	18	16.8	16.5	0.33	14.8	14.5	0.31
Vince Carter	94	92	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-4	18	16.5	18.2	-1.71	14.9	12.0	2.87
Jason Kidd	96	93	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.20	7	3	4	16.6	17.7	-1.13	14.8	13.0	1.76
Nenad Krstic	65	64	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	11	-12	17.7	14.9	2.76	14.1	15.6	-1.47
Billy Thomas	33	33	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	3	4	15.3	17.3	-1.95	15.8	14.1	1.71
Travis Best	22	23	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.02	8	2	6	16.0	16.9	-0.90	14.1	14.8	-0.66
Elden Campbell	5	4	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	10	-10	16.8	16.7	0.15	12.5	14.7	-2.23
Jabari Smith	34	32	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.12	-1	11	-12	17.0	16.5	0.51	14.4	14.7	-0.34
Jason Collins	56	55	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.20	-1	11	-12	16.0	17.4	-1.45	14.5	14.8	-0.25
Jacque Vaughn	56	52	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.16	-7	17	-24	17.0	16.2	0.82	14.3	15.0	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.23,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.72,0.97,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 100, NJN 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.29,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.84,0.76,0.91,1	90.2%
MIN 110, GSW 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.26,0.54,0.67,0.72,0.89,0.84,1	90.0%
MIN 97, MEM 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.45,0.63,0.23,0.41,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.9,1,1	90.0%