NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	100		Excitement	9.0 [141]		MVP	Richard Jefferson (NJN): +37.3%
New Jersey Nets	105		Comeback	20.4 [101]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -15.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.06	0.02	9	70%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,-0.05,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.13	0.02	0.11	-0.00	16	58%	0.44	4	-0.31	6	83%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12	0.01	0.11	-0.00	13	50%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Morris Peterson	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.17	-0.05	0.02	12	86%	0.32	3	-0.21	5	100%	0.07
Loren Woods	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pape Sow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Graham	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.03	-0.09	-0.03	17	48%	0.00	3	-0.09	14	79%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.37	0.37	0.16	0.18	-0.03	19	64%	0.40	2	-0.02	9	89%	0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.12,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.15	0.15	-0.00	0.16	0.01	26	48%	0.21	3	-0.07	13	54%	-0.03
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.10	0.00	3	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.02	0.02	16	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Scott Padgett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.13	0.01	9	58%	0.05	4	-0.20	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.6	2.6	26.7	15.0	30.0	1.7	36.4	1.5	20.1	155.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -21.5%

TOR -6.2%

NJN +45.5%

NJN +31.9%

NJN +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	NJN	NBA	TOR	NJN	NBA
this game	16.7	15.3	15.6	102.0	104.0	104.4
season	15.6	15.7		107.3	102.1
opponent	15.7	15.4		100.9	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	15.5	20.3	16.1	17.2	12.7	16.7
NJN	14.5	15.0	17.4	14.7	14.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	27	27	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.11	6	-11	17	15.3	17.3	-1.97	17.2	14.5	2.68
Loren Woods	3	4	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.03	4	-9	13	22.0	16.6	5.44	8.7	15.5	-6.78
Pape Sow	6	8	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-2	-1	16.5	16.7	-0.24	17.9	15.0	2.84
Joey Graham	18	20	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	0	-5	19.4	16.1	3.26	12.4	16.0	-3.56
Mike James	87	88	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.44	7	-12	19	16.6	17.4	-0.72	15.2	15.4	-0.15
Charlie Villanueva	91	94	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-6	7	16.2	23.7	-7.53	15.3	14.1	1.20
Morris Peterson	92	95	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-3	1	16.2	24.0	-7.75	15.3	13.8	1.51
Jose Calderon	18	19	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.09	-20	15	-35	19.9	16.0	3.88	13.0	15.8	-2.78
Chris Bosh	92	92	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.39	-4	-1	-3	16.6	19.2	-2.60	15.7	11.0	4.67
Matt Bonner	56	58	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.51	-9	4	-13	17.3	15.9	1.39	15.2	15.3	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jacque Vaughn	42	38	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.47	13	-8	21	14.1	16.1	-1.95	14.3	18.2	-3.89
Richard Jefferson	91	89	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-3	11	14.9	18.5	-3.60	16.6	18.1	-1.53
Jason Kidd	84	82	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.38	4	1	3	15.0	16.7	-1.74	17.3	13.9	3.33
Vince Carter	93	91	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.43	1	4	-3	15.4	14.0	1.37	16.2	23.3	-7.07
Nenad Krstic	69	69	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	5	-5	16.6	12.4	4.17	16.6	17.0	-0.39
Scott Padgett	23	23	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.11	7	-2	9	15.2	15.3	-0.11	19.1	16.0	3.14
Clifford Robinson	30	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	0	5	13.6	15.9	-2.31	17.7	16.4	1.30
Antoine Wright	21	18	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.13	2	3	-1	16.4	14.9	1.48	19.0	16.2	2.79
Jason Collins	52	53	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.07	-15	20	-35	15.8	14.7	1.17	16.5	16.9	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.29,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.84,0.76,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 122, GSW 125	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.52,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.73,1	91.0%
GSW 105, LAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.18,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.16,0.1,0.27,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.9,0.96,1	90.8%
MIA 94, ATL 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.58,0.59,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.72,1	90.6%