NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	99		Excitement	2.5 [1252]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +11.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	113		Comeback	1.0 [1299]		LVP	Primoz Brezec (CHA): -11.5%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.00	0.03	5	92%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Wallace	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	11	52%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	14	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Melvin Ely	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	12	73%	0.05	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Jason Hart	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	8	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	7	33%	-0.01	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Theron Smith	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	0.00	9	40%	-0.05	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.00	0.03	16	68%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.00	-0.04	14	56%	0.09	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	14	71%	0.11	4	-0.05	7	71%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	10	77%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	55%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	5	61%	-0.01	1	-0.01	8	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	1.8	29.2	19.6	24.3	2.5	24.5	127.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +32.3%

SEA +3.9%

SEA +4.6%

SEA +7.6%

SEA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	SEA	NBA	CHA	SEA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.4	15.5	108.8	122.8	104.0
season	15.5	16.5		99.0	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.1		107.9	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.1	14.3	16.0	14.8	15.1
SEA	14.9	17.0	14.0	20.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keith Bogans	44	44	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.06	-5	-9	4	15.7	14.5	1.24	16.3	16.4	-0.08
Brevin Knight	57	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-13	12	14.4	16.3	-1.93	16.1	16.7	-0.61
Theron Smith	33	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-4	-6	15.0	15.2	-0.19	16.5	16.3	0.12
Jason Kapono	45	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	-5	-4	15.0	15.1	-0.09	17.6	15.1	2.47
Jason Hart	56	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-10	6	15.3	14.8	0.47	16.3	16.5	-0.26
Primoz Brezec	56	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.17	-3	-11	8	14.7	15.8	-1.11	16.7	15.9	0.72
Gerald Wallace	48	47	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-7	0	15.0	15.2	-0.27	15.3	17.5	-2.13
Steven Smith	39	39	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.24	-20	6	-26	16.3	14.2	2.13	15.4	17.1	-1.64
Melvin Ely	77	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.13	-11	-3	-8	15.0	15.7	-0.74	16.8	14.1	2.64

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	60	60	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.16	20	-6	26	15.3	18.4	-3.06	15.4	14.5	0.92
Reggie Evans	74	73	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.02	15	-1	16	16.7	15.0	1.72	15.4	13.7	1.70
Vladimir Radmanovic	64	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.02	13	1	12	16.7	15.6	1.16	14.8	15.7	-0.83
Rashard Lewis	62	62	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	13	1	12	14.9	19.4	-4.48	15.5	14.1	1.39
Luke Ridnour	74	73	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	7	0	16.9	14.4	2.48	15.1	15.1	-0.03
Antonio Daniels	47	46	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.10	4	10	-6	16.8	15.9	0.92	15.3	14.9	0.44
Nick Collison	38	36	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.09	2	12	-10	17.8	15.4	2.45	15.0	15.1	-0.10
Jerome James	20	21	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	12	-10	14.3	17.0	-2.66	16.2	14.8	1.43
Danny Fortson	7	8	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.03	1	13	-12	17.0	16.3	0.67	12.4	15.3	-2.97
Ronald Murray	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	18.7	16.1	2.67	11.9	15.5	-3.62
Mateen Cleaves	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	17	-20	18.7	16.3	2.36	5.7	15.4	-9.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, ORL 119	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CLE 71, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.4%
CHI 82, ORL 111	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.3%