inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 95 Excitement6.0 [650] MVPKenyon Martin (DEN): +14.8%
Indiana Pacers 88 Comeback1.8 [398] LVPJamaal Tinsley (IND): -21.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenyon Martin0.150,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.150.100.050.001178%0.212-0.061090%0.03
Bryon Russell0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.100.04-0.014108%0.161-0.014100%0.02
Nene0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.01-0.00761%0.061-0.03475%-0.00
Marcus Camby0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.000.01-0.021062%0.063-0.041100%0.01
Earl Boykins-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.02-0.01945%0.031-0.044100%0.01
DerMarr Johnson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Greg Buckner-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.020.011100%0.012-0.0600%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11-0.09-0.05-0.041345%-0.013-0.10771%0.02
Andre Miller-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.19-0.05-0.02529%-0.046-0.164100%0.01

Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Scot Pollard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Reggie Miller0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.02-0.011258%0.051-0.032100%0.01
James Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.06-0.010.043100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jeff Foster0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01283%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Fred Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.00636%-0.0600.002100%0.01
Stephen Jackson0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.03-0.011450%0.065-0.1400%0.00
Eddie Gill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.03-0.01217%-0.061-0.03250%-0.02
Jonathan Bender0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.12-0.09-0.04-0.0030%-0.062-0.0700%0.00
Jermaine O'Neal0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.08-0.100.001849%-0.073-0.11989%0.02
Jamaal Tinsley0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21-0.21-0.20-0.03-0.021833%-0.134-0.08683%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.32.433.316.426.52.437.6142.9
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +52.1%
DEN +17.8%
IND -14.1%
IND -4.1%
IND -1.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENINDNBADENINDNBA
this game15.015.815.5101.194.6104.0
season14.816.8103.8101.9
opponent15.515.6101.6102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN15.914.615.014.615.0
IND16.115.415.716.115.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Boykins55570.79-0.291.070.1123-163914.116.2-2.0616.414.91.50
Nene48480.78-0.281.070.2020-133314.315.7-1.4016.315.21.09
Bryon Russell44440.66-0.160.820.1019-123113.316.5-3.2515.416.1-0.71
Kenyon Martin71710.250.250.000.1925-315.114.60.5815.217.8-2.64
Andre Miller71680.170.33-0.160.32-512-1715.613.32.3015.417.0-1.58
DerMarr Johnson17170.120.38-0.25-0.0252314.815.1-0.2917.415.41.96
Francisco Elson990.070.43-0.36-0.0234-114.815.0-0.2517.615.61.94
Carmelo Anthony71700.050.45-0.400.28-815-2315.812.63.2215.716.1-0.43
Marcus Camby5856-0.080.58-0.670.27-1219-3115.214.70.5415.915.70.22
Greg Buckner2827-0.310.81-1.130.04-1219-3115.814.71.1214.816.2-1.40

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jamaal Tinsley62660.02-0.520.54-0.2710-172716.414.71.6916.012.63.46
Jeff Foster56550.02-0.520.54-0.218-152315.616.1-0.4116.512.83.72
Reggie Miller6061-0.04-0.460.43-0.309-162515.915.70.1716.113.03.13
James Jones1616-0.15-0.350.20-0.00-5-2-315.715.8-0.1411.715.7-3.99
Jermaine O'Neal6567-0.20-0.300.10-0.324-111516.214.91.3115.613.52.13
Stephen Jackson7274-0.23-0.270.04-0.20-1-6515.118.2-3.0815.314.01.21
Jonathan Bender2827-0.30-0.20-0.100.02-114-1514.916.2-1.3113.515.6-2.13
Scot Pollard3435-0.510.01-0.52-0.10-147-2116.915.21.7913.815.7-1.87
Eddie Gill3128-0.520.02-0.54-0.02-1710-2714.716.4-1.6912.616.0-3.46
Fred Jones4141-0.600.10-0.69-0.07-1811-2916.315.40.8313.116.5-3.33


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.41,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.32,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 84, GSW 760.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.31,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.14,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.05,0,0,094.3%
SEA 104, LAL 930.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.28,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,094.1%
SAC 100, DET 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.32,0.36,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.56,0.48,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.08,093.5%