NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	3.8 [1077]		MVP	Brad Miller (SAC): +10.9%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	2.0 [829]		LVP	Keith McLeod (UTA): -14.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Curtis Borchardt	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	62%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Raul Lopez	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	0.00	0.05	5	77%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.05	5	70%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	62%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	13	47%	-0.05	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Keith McLeod	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.02	-0.02	10	32%	-0.05	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.02	0.05	10	87%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.01	0.05	18	66%	0.10	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.03
Chris Webber	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	61%	0.09	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	3	75%	0.04	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	7	28%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	31.3	15.8	29.2	1.5	28.6	131.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +18.7%

SAC +18.1%

SAC +0.9%

SAC +12.8%

UTA -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAC	NBA	UTA	SAC	NBA
this game	17.4	15.2	15.5	105.7	120.2	104.0
season	16.7	14.7		102.3	108.1
opponent	15.6	15.1		106.4	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.7	20.1	17.9	13.9	17.4
SAC	15.8	12.0	14.2	18.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordan Giricek	32	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-17	20	18.1	17.0	1.14	14.8	15.4	-0.54
Kris Humphries	11	10	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.10	-7	-7	0	14.9	17.8	-2.84	14.5	15.2	-0.74
Raul Lopez	33	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-12	10	14.3	19.2	-4.90	17.4	13.8	3.55
Howard Eisley	32	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-9	4	16.1	18.1	-2.05	16.2	14.6	1.66
Kirk Snyder	27	27	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-11	8	15.1	18.4	-3.35	17.0	14.4	2.65
Mehmet Okur	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-5	-4	16.6	17.9	-1.26	13.5	16.1	-2.54
Matt Harpring	63	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.17	-1	-13	12	17.9	16.2	1.73	16.2	12.5	3.70
Keith McLeod	54	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	-8	-6	-2	18.9	15.1	3.76	13.8	17.3	-3.56
Curtis Borchardt	48	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	-4	-6	18.5	16.0	2.47	14.5	15.9	-1.43
Carlos Boozer	68	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-7	0	18.2	14.7	3.49	15.5	13.9	1.54
Raja Bell	40	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	0.08	-21	7	-28	17.8	17.0	0.83	13.4	16.7	-3.28

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	54	52	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.01	21	-7	28	14.1	16.7	-2.61	18.1	16.4	1.61
Brad Miller	75	73	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.07	20	-6	26	15.1	15.6	-0.58	18.0	14.5	3.45
Peja Stojakovic	81	80	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	1	12	14.9	17.5	-2.57	17.5	16.7	0.71
Matt Barnes	33	32	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	2	10	14.8	15.4	-0.64	18.4	16.8	1.54
Chris Webber	71	71	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	5	4	14.6	17.2	-2.52	17.9	15.2	2.68
Darius Songaila	33	33	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	11	-8	16.0	14.7	1.29	14.1	19.4	-5.24
Greg Ostertag	3	3	0.04	0.46	-0.41	-0.01	2	12	-10	18.3	15.0	3.29	16.0	17.4	-1.45
Eddie House	44	45	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.04	-1	15	-16	16.0	14.3	1.67	16.8	18.0	-1.22
Maurice Evans	51	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	23	-32	16.3	13.7	2.62	17.2	17.7	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.75,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.8,0.76,0.68,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 94, MIA 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.67,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.2%
NJN 97, NOH 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.64,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1	94.8%
GSW 108, MEM 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.8,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.91,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.7%