NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	3.3 [1164]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +16.6%
New York Knicks	113		Comeback	1.1 [1171]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (POR): -11.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	11	75%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.00	0.04	8	62%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	17	66%	0.09	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.00
James Thomas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ha Seung-Jin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	15	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.11	-0.01	0.11	8	81%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.18	0.01	0.02	12	86%	0.18	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.00	8	83%	0.12	2	-0.02	8	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.02	0.00	15	56%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	10	70%	0.08	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	7	55%	0.02	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01
Vin Baker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Sundov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	6	56%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.02
Jerome Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	11	60%	0.06	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.6	26.5	17.4	27.2	1.8	38.2	136.0
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +27.2%

NYK +5.7%

NYK +1.3%

NYK +13.7%

NYK +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	16.0	15.5	119.3	122.8	104.0
season	15.8	15.8		101.2	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.6		106.5	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.4	17.1	16.3	14.6	16.0
NYK	16.3	16.4	18.0	13.7	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ha Seung-Jin	6	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-14	20	7.8	16.6	-8.80	8.3	16.6	-8.31
James Thomas	7	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-14	20	9.0	16.6	-7.64	11.1	16.5	-5.38
Richie Frahm	7	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-14	20	9.0	16.6	-7.64	11.1	16.5	-5.38
Sebastian Telfair	44	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.27	3	-11	14	15.0	17.0	-2.02	15.4	16.5	-1.03
Joel Przybilla	12	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-1	-6	17.4	15.8	1.60	15.6	16.0	-0.41
Travis Outlaw	44	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-9	10	15.2	16.8	-1.61	15.3	16.6	-1.24
Theo Ratliff	42	45	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	1	-10	17.1	15.0	2.08	16.8	15.2	1.59
Damon Stoudamire	42	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-3	-2	15.5	16.5	-0.98	15.9	16.0	-0.16
Nick Van Exel	42	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.01	-9	1	-10	17.4	14.8	2.62	17.0	15.0	2.06
Derek Anderson	41	44	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	3	-14	17.4	14.8	2.63	16.5	15.5	1.02
Zach Randolph	77	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-3	-2	16.3	14.2	2.12	16.9	9.6	7.34
Ruben Patterson	76	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	8	-24	16.7	11.7	4.96	16.2	14.7	1.48

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	82	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.14	12	-4	16	16.1	14.5	1.65	16.5	12.1	4.37
Allan Houston	67	63	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	-6	20	16.1	15.5	0.61	16.6	14.6	2.00
Kurt Thomas	67	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.04	13	-5	18	16.5	14.5	2.04	16.8	14.3	2.45
Stephon Marbury	82	79	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	7	-6	16.2	14.3	1.87	15.7	18.7	-2.93
Trevor Ariza	58	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.24	2	6	-4	15.3	17.1	-1.87	15.3	17.4	-2.11
Vin Baker	17	16	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	5	-2	13.3	16.6	-3.28	14.7	16.3	-1.65
Nazr Mohammed	51	50	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	7	-6	16.5	15.3	1.26	15.9	16.2	-0.36
Moochie Norris	36	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.33	-6	14	-20	15.3	16.4	-1.04	15.5	16.4	-0.96
Bruno Sundov	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	14	-20	8.3	16.6	-8.31	7.8	16.6	-8.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 83, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
OKC 115, POR 120	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	96.1%
MIN 89, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.9,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.94,0.93,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%