NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	115		Excitement	3.9 [1072]		MVP	Enes Kanter (OKC): +16.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	120		Comeback	1.2 [986]		LVP	Randy Foye (OKC): -7.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.24	0.02	0.10	18	77%	0.18	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Steven Adams	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.06	15	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Cameron Payne	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	14	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Huestis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.00	0.03	3	75%	-0.02	2	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Dion Waiters	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.01	19	57%	0.06	7	-0.10	6	67%	-0.00
Randy Foye	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	13	37%	-0.04	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.17	0.00	0.01	17	67%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	18	68%	0.17	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	9	89%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.00	-0.05	13	52%	0.08	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	71%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	5	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.12	13	35%	0.04	3	-0.03	5	100%	0.01
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	150%	0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Montero	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	32.4	14.6	25.0	2.0	28.4	130.1
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +47.2%

POR +7.5%

OKC -7.0%

POR +2.3%

OKC -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	POR	NBA	OKC	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	13.9	14.9	116.2	118.8	105.1
season	14.4	15.0		111.5	107.1
opponent	14.6	15.1		106.7	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.4	14.7	17.0	12.8	14.9
POR	13.4	12.6	13.7	16.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Huestis	45	45	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.45	11	-16	27	13.3	16.3	-3.03	14.1	13.7	0.40
Kyle Singler	27	28	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	1	-7	16.1	14.5	1.69	14.8	13.5	1.29
Nick Collison	19	20	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-4	3	15.3	14.8	0.49	14.4	13.8	0.70
Randy Foye	77	78	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.50	12	-17	29	14.4	16.8	-2.44	14.2	12.9	1.27
Enes Kanter	73	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.48	10	-15	25	14.8	15.1	-0.27	13.8	14.0	-0.20
Cameron Payne	63	66	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	5	-15	15.4	14.1	1.36	13.1	15.4	-2.31
Steven Adams	47	48	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	15	-35	15.9	14.0	1.86	13.5	14.2	-0.67
Dion Waiters	79	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-3	1	15.1	14.4	0.65	13.7	14.8	-1.13
Anthony Morrow	65	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.02	-19	14	-33	14.8	15.1	-0.30	14.2	13.3	0.95

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	77	78	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.04	18	-13	31	13.7	14.5	-0.74	14.9	14.9	0.08
Maurice Harkless	57	57	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.02	15	-10	25	14.4	13.2	1.14	15.4	14.3	1.10
Damian Lillard	78	76	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	-1	7	13.8	14.3	-0.54	14.7	15.7	-0.95
CJ McCollum	72	74	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	-2	9	14.3	12.8	1.49	14.9	15.1	-0.27
Mason Plumlee	65	64	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.14	5	0	5	14.0	13.8	0.18	14.7	15.4	-0.70
Allen Crabbe	51	48	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.23	0	5	-5	13.7	14.1	-0.37	15.4	14.5	0.88
Ed Davis	35	35	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.12	3	2	1	14.1	13.8	0.34	15.4	14.7	0.70
Gerald Henderson	31	30	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	4	-3	13.6	14.0	-0.45	14.9	14.9	-0.08
Pat Connaughton	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	8	-11	2.0	14.0	-12.01	0.0	14.9	-14.92
Luis Montero	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	8	-11	2.0	14.0	-12.01	0.0	14.9	-14.92
Brian Roberts	27	24	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.32	-12	17	-29	13.8	13.9	-0.15	14.0	15.2	-1.27
Noah Vonleh	10	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.29	-12	17	-29	13.7	13.9	-0.21	14.6	15.0	-0.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.9,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 115, LAL 122	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.7%
SAS 90, GSW 120	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
PHX 97, OKC 107	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.78,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%