NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	117		Excitement	11.2 [32]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NOH): +42.1%
New Orleans Hornets	121		Comeback	4.2 [497]		LVP	Chris Webber (SAC): -44.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.27	-0.10	0.30	-0.07	20	42%	0.39	2	-0.12	8	75%	0.06
Peja Stojakovic	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27	0.16	0.13	0.03	23	67%	0.37	1	-0.10	9	100%	0.08
Maurice Evans	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22	0.05	0.16	-0.02	8	78%	0.29	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Brad Miller	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15	0.01	0.13	-0.01	11	58%	0.18	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Darius Songaila	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.45	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.34,-0.4,-0.4,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45	-0.16	-0.28	0.00	22	40%	-0.26	3	-0.18	11	91%	0.04

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.29,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.12	0.30	0.00	18	62%	0.42	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,0,0.08,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.03	0.23	0.00	10	60%	0.28	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Baron Davis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.21	0.21	-0.08	0.27	-0.01	25	47%	0.33	4	-0.12	5	60%	-0.07
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.16	0.00	10	62%	0.25	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	74%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	63%	0.07	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Lee Nailon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	33%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.09	-0.01	6	56%	-0.07	1	-0.03	6	67%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	27.5	16.3	26.4	2.5	33.4	1.6	20.0	154.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +41.0%

SAC -9.4%

SAC -0.7%

NOH +28.0%

SAC -8.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	NOH	NBA	SAC	NOH	NBA
this game	14.7	16.3	15.5	114.7	117.5	104.0
season	14.7	16.5		108.1	97.7
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.2	106.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	13.1	15.9	15.4	14.7	14.0	14.7
NOH	14.5	16.9	17.4	17.2	16.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	59	58	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.05	6	-10	16	14.5	15.0	-0.50	17.1	15.4	1.77
Kevin Martin	10	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-1	-2	17.2	14.4	2.81	21.0	15.8	5.15
Greg Ostertag	11	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	2	-8	16.3	14.5	1.80	11.2	17.0	-5.77
Brad Miller	87	87	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.43	10	-14	24	14.3	17.1	-2.81	17.4	10.6	6.78
Mike Bibby	85	88	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.38	7	-11	18	14.3	16.6	-2.38	16.0	18.3	-2.24
Darius Songaila	29	30	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	6	-16	15.8	14.2	1.53	15.5	16.7	-1.15
Chris Webber	77	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.34	-2	-2	0	14.5	15.2	-0.71	16.3	16.6	-0.30
Peja Stojakovic	96	97	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	2	-8	14.6	16.3	-1.77	16.0	21.3	-5.29
Maurice Evans	56	56	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.39	-16	12	-28	15.2	14.0	1.21	15.8	17.0	-1.27

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	51	49	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.53	11	-7	18	15.6	17.1	-1.51	14.6	14.7	-0.14
Baron Davis	91	92	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.47	11	-7	18	15.7	21.6	-5.92	14.6	15.0	-0.37
Dan Dickau	59	56	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.08	12	-8	20	16.0	16.8	-0.86	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Chris Andersen	41	39	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-9	22	15.5	16.9	-1.35	15.1	14.4	0.66
P.J. Brown	86	87	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	2	0	15.9	18.6	-2.75	14.6	15.2	-0.63
Rodney Rogers	79	78	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.40	-7	11	-18	17.3	13.3	3.93	14.6	15.0	-0.44
J.R. Smith	69	68	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.32	-13	17	-30	17.5	14.0	3.51	14.6	14.7	-0.10
Lee Nailon	39	41	-0.51	1.01	-1.53	-0.25	-9	13	-22	17.5	15.7	1.79	15.1	14.4	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.66,0.71,0.76,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.53,0.26,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.46,0.24,0.55,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 76, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.83,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.97,1,1	88.2%
HOU 95, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.91,1	88.1%
CHI 93, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.77,0.98,1	88.0%