NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	1.6 [645]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +12.1%
Indiana Pacers	93		Comeback	1.7 [348]		LVP	Jermaine O'Neal (IND): -21.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.01	16	62%	0.14	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.03
Tayshaun Prince	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	10	69%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	57%	0.07	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Darvin Ham	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	16	54%	0.07	4	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.08	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	15	42%	-0.05	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.02	0.03	16	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Fred Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.03	0.06	9	75%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	6	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	4	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.03	0.02	5	42%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	10	36%	-0.03	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.07	0.02	19	44%	-0.09	3	-0.12	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.6	31.6	19.8	30.3	3.7	46.4	160.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +1.1%

DET +19.7%

DET +23.6%

DET +8.5%

IND -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	IND	NBA	DET	IND	NBA
this game	16.7	15.1	15.5	107.7	103.3	104.0
season	16.7	16.8		103.5	101.9
opponent	15.5	15.9		101.6	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.9	16.6	15.0	15.7	16.7
IND	14.4	15.4	17.0	13.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	73	75	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.33	9	-4	13	16.5	17.5	-0.98	14.9	16.0	-1.08
Antonio McDyess	51	49	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-2	9	16.9	16.5	0.43	15.2	14.9	0.32
Tayshaun Prince	74	72	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.31	3	2	1	16.5	17.8	-1.29	15.0	15.3	-0.29
Ben Wallace	69	69	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.19	5	0	5	15.6	20.2	-4.57	14.9	15.8	-0.93
Rasheed Wallace	56	56	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	1	3	17.4	15.7	1.67	15.9	13.9	2.00
Chauncey Billups	76	73	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	2	1	15.7	21.6	-5.85	15.0	15.4	-0.31
Lindsey Hunter	39	38	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	6	-7	19.4	14.7	4.76	15.6	14.7	0.87
Darvin Ham	2	2	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	8	-11	24.0	16.6	7.45	3.0	15.4	-12.38
Elden Campbell	4	4	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.02	-3	8	-11	20.7	16.5	4.22	12.5	15.2	-2.72

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Jones	33	33	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-4	3	14.3	15.5	-1.21	15.8	17.2	-1.45
Anthony Johnson	34	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	0	-5	16.1	14.5	1.59	16.1	17.1	-0.95
Reggie Miller	74	74	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.37	6	-11	17	14.9	15.8	-0.87	16.5	17.8	-1.29
David Harrison	12	11	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.01	-7	2	-9	13.2	15.4	-2.13	18.0	16.5	1.46
Jermaine O'Neal	67	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.31	2	-7	9	15.6	13.6	2.06	17.7	13.7	4.00
Jeff Foster	48	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	3	-11	16.5	13.5	2.96	16.7	16.7	-0.03
Austin Croshere	50	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-5	5	14.0	16.5	-2.47	16.0	17.6	-1.59
Michael Curry	16	17	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	6	-17	15.8	14.9	0.87	17.8	16.5	1.29
Jamaal Tinsley	56	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.33	0	-5	5	14.5	16.1	-1.59	17.1	16.1	0.95
Fred Jones	60	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-4	3	15.1	15.1	0.05	16.5	17.2	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.5,0.45,0.34,0.42,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.32,0.17,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 111, ORL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.06,0.01,0	93.4%
ORL 97, NYK 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.8%
PHI 114, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.03,0.07,0.11,0,0,0	92.8%