NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	6.5 [545]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +26.4%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	2.8 [720]		LVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): -14.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.09	0.01	15	66%	0.20	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0.07	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	11	72%	0.15	4	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Mike Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.08	-0.07	0.01	16	69%	0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	1	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Stromile Swift	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	4	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.01	13	38%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11	-0.00	-0.08	0.02	14	59%	0.03	3	-0.14	4	75%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26	0.26	0.21	0.07	0.01	17	81%	0.28	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	21	61%	0.17	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.03
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	13	52%	-0.00	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.01	17	47%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.02	9	17%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.5	29.3	13.7	27.0	2.0	32.1	128.9
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +3.5%

PHX +15.3%

PHX +15.9%

PHX +11.2%

PHX +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	16.4	14.3	15.5	108.5	116.0	104.0
season	16.4	13.5		103.7	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.5		106.2	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	19.2	17.5	14.4	14.8	16.4
PHX	13.0	15.2	16.3	12.9	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Tsakalidis	4	4	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.05	3	-10	13	13.7	16.5	-2.73	19.2	14.1	5.19
Shane Battier	77	78	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.15	3	-10	13	16.2	17.0	-0.78	13.6	17.6	-4.04
Earl Watson	28	27	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.24	6	-13	19	15.6	16.7	-1.07	17.0	13.2	3.82
Dahntay Jones	20	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-1	-5	15.5	16.6	-1.03	17.1	13.6	3.55
Ryan Humphrey	4	4	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	0	-7	16.5	16.4	0.14	13.7	14.3	-0.55
Pau Gasol	65	66	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.17	-4	-3	-1	16.6	15.8	0.87	14.5	13.9	0.60
Mike Miller	85	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.37	2	-9	11	16.3	16.6	-0.21	14.1	16.1	-2.03
Stromile Swift	36	35	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	1	-9	16.6	16.2	0.45	15.3	13.6	1.70
Jason Williams	66	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.05	-13	6	-19	16.7	15.6	1.07	13.2	17.0	-3.82
James Posey	85	85	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.25	-11	4	-15	16.5	15.1	1.38	13.7	19.9	-6.21

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	79	79	0.86	-0.36	1.23	0.22	22	-15	37	13.6	18.1	-4.51	16.9	13.4	3.52
Steve Nash	78	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-9	25	13.9	16.3	-2.45	16.6	15.1	1.57
Quentin Richardson	82	81	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-2	11	13.7	18.1	-4.36	16.7	14.1	2.65
Casey Jacobsen	31	33	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.20	6	1	5	15.8	13.5	2.28	16.4	16.4	0.00
Shawn Marion	86	86	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.34	1	6	-5	13.8	19.4	-5.57	16.2	18.0	-1.79
Joe Johnson	75	74	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.18	-1	8	-9	14.3	14.4	-0.12	16.0	17.8	-1.89
Bo Outlaw	8	8	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.04	6	1	5	19.4	13.8	5.57	18.0	16.2	1.79
Leandro Barbosa	16	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.21	-9	16	-25	16.3	13.9	2.45	15.1	16.6	-1.57
Steven Hunter	15	15	-0.36	0.86	-1.23	0.08	-15	22	-37	18.1	13.6	4.51	13.4	16.9	-3.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.29,0.32,0.54,0.74,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 86, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.5,0.57,0.62,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1	93.8%
MEM 93, HOU 97	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.6,0.75,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.91,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.99,0.98,1	91.9%
CHA 85, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.95,1	91.5%