NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	83		Excitement	4.0 [1039]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +14.8%
Seattle SuperSonics	98		Comeback	1.0 [1294]		LVP	Nene (DEN): -14.0%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Miller	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	77%	0.14	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	12	69%	0.11	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bryon Russell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney White	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	20	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.15	0.00	-0.08	9	11%	-0.04	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nene	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	3	47%	-0.04	5	-0.10	9	33%	-0.04

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.02	-0.03	14	63%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.04	15	60%	0.12	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ibrahim Kutluay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.02	-0.04	20	45%	0.04	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Reggie Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	55%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	1	75%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	-0.02	11	18%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	30.1	14.7	25.3	2.4	27.2	127.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +23.8%

SEA +3.3%

SEA +11.1%

SEA +8.3%

SEA +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SEA	NBA	DEN	SEA	NBA
this game	15.1	16.8	15.5	93.3	107.7	104.0
season	14.8	16.5		103.8	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.6		107.9	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	14.5	12.6	17.5	16.6	15.1
SEA	18.2	15.1	16.0	18.5	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-17	19	10.3	15.3	-4.97	16.0	16.9	-0.88
Greg Buckner	11	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.02	-4	-11	7	16.4	15.0	1.40	19.5	16.4	3.06
Francisco Elson	28	26	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-10	5	12.7	16.2	-3.48	17.9	16.4	1.51
Rodney White	56	57	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-18	21	14.9	15.5	-0.65	17.5	15.8	1.73
Earl Boykins	38	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-6	-3	13.6	16.3	-2.76	16.9	16.8	0.12
Nene	47	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-6	-3	14.4	15.9	-1.46	17.6	15.9	1.67
Marcus Camby	43	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.01	-8	-7	-1	16.7	13.7	3.02	15.9	17.7	-1.87
Andre Miller	72	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-8	1	15.0	15.6	-0.63	16.9	16.7	0.19
Bryon Russell	39	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.02	-13	-2	-11	14.9	15.3	-0.42	16.3	17.3	-0.93
DerMarr Johnson	54	56	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.01	-13	-2	-11	16.3	13.3	3.00	15.9	18.4	-2.57
Kenyon Martin	54	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-3	-9	16.3	13.4	2.86	16.5	17.4	-0.86

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	78	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-2	19	16.8	17.0	-0.18	15.4	13.5	1.89
Rashard Lewis	79	77	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	-1	17	16.6	18.4	-1.81	15.4	13.2	2.27
Vladimir Radmanovic	66	65	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	6	3	16.7	17.2	-0.54	14.3	17.3	-2.95
Nick Collison	39	38	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	3	9	17.3	16.5	0.72	14.7	15.5	-0.74
Ronald Murray	54	50	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.06	8	7	1	17.2	16.4	0.83	13.8	16.9	-3.14
Reggie Evans	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	8	-1	16.2	17.4	-1.21	16.6	13.8	2.80
Luke Ridnour	42	43	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.11	3	12	-9	16.2	17.4	-1.22	16.5	13.9	2.57
Jerome James	31	29	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.05	8	7	1	17.3	16.6	0.67	17.2	14.1	3.12
Danny Fortson	20	20	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.10	-3	18	-21	18.8	16.3	2.57	11.5	16.2	-4.69
Ibrahim Kutluay	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	16.0	16.9	-0.88	10.3	15.3	-4.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.91,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 96, POR 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.6%
NOH 82, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
IND 95, ATL 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%