NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	8.2 [257]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (NYK): +36.3%
New York Knicks	94		Comeback	2.5 [747]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): -35.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mehmet Okur	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.10	0.04	7	81%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Raja Bell	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15	0.06	0.07	-0.02	15	67%	0.23	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Curtis Borchardt	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Snyder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Aleksandar Radojevic	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	1	62%	-0.01	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Matt Harpring	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	0.01	-0.09	0.00	16	54%	-0.05	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.04
Carlos Arroyo	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	10	39%	0.00	3	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
Raul Lopez	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	6	21%	-0.10	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.27,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.12	-0.23	0.00	14	45%	-0.23	2	-0.12	14	50%	-0.11

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.36	0.36	0.05	0.30	-0.01	16	62%	0.41	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.07
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.1,0.08,0.11	0.11	-0.03	0.12	-0.02	12	58%	0.18	3	-0.08	9	100%	0.09
Michael Sweetney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.08	-0.00	10	57%	0.14	1	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	83%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	7	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	7	44%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	29.6	0.8	30.2	2.4	35.0	122.7
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +41.1%

NYK +35.6%

UTA -39.2%

NYK +17.7%

UTA -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NYK	NBA	UTA	NYK	NBA
this game	16.7	15.6	15.5	104.5	105.6	104.0
season	16.7	15.8		102.3	103.9
opponent	15.3	15.1		106.5	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.6	17.1	16.5	15.8	16.7
NYK	16.7	16.4	13.5	16.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aleksandar Radojevic	48	47	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.01	8	-9	17	16.2	17.3	-1.11	16.4	14.7	1.71
Raul Lopez	36	35	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.07	7	-8	15	15.5	17.6	-2.04	16.1	15.3	0.72
Curtis Borchardt	12	11	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-4	7	17.0	16.7	0.30	16.5	15.5	1.06
Gordan Giricek	7	7	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.02	-5	4	-9	20.1	16.5	3.69	15.7	15.6	0.10
Kris Humphries	8	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	5	-11	22.0	16.2	5.78	17.7	15.4	2.28
Matt Harpring	75	74	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.47	10	-11	21	15.8	21.9	-6.16	16.0	13.8	2.19
Kirk Snyder	12	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.04	-6	5	-11	19.0	16.4	2.61	14.6	15.8	-1.24
Raja Bell	76	76	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.48	5	-6	11	16.5	18.3	-1.83	15.2	17.8	-2.52
Carlos Boozer	57	59	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.45	-4	3	-7	17.1	16.1	1.06	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Carlos Arroyo	53	54	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.41	-8	7	-15	17.6	15.5	2.04	15.3	16.1	-0.72
Mehmet Okur	61	61	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.48	-9	8	-17	16.7	16.7	-0.01	15.0	17.1	-2.12

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	74	75	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.44	5	-4	9	15.9	14.4	1.46	16.8	16.3	0.54
Stephon Marbury	82	81	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.46	0	1	-1	15.8	13.6	2.22	17.1	13.2	3.84
Allan Houston	39	39	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-13	27	15.3	15.9	-0.60	17.6	16.1	1.51
Tim Thomas	59	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	2	-3	16.2	14.5	1.69	16.6	17.0	-0.39
Michael Sweetney	36	34	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.05	12	-11	23	14.9	16.1	-1.13	18.1	15.9	2.13
Nazr Mohammed	61	63	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.50	-11	12	-23	15.9	15.1	0.75	16.0	18.5	-2.54
Jamal Crawford	72	73	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.44	-11	12	-23	15.2	17.4	-2.22	16.1	19.6	-3.52
Trevor Ariza	7	7	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	-2	5	16.4	15.5	0.88	18.0	16.6	1.37
Jerome Williams	15	14	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.01	-6	7	-13	14.4	15.9	-1.46	15.3	17.0	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.61,0.52,0.35,0.34,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.46,0.61,0.55,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 108, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	92.4%
CHH 80, HOU 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.62,0.63,0.85,0.97,1	91.4%
ORL 110, BKN 114	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.71,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.48,0.43,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.33,0.37,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.92,1	91.3%