NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	99		Excitement	5.0 [849]		MVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): +14.3%
Toronto Raptors	110		Comeback	1.7 [871]		LVP	Jason Collins (NJN): -14.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	-0.00	0.02	20	75%	0.19	5	-0.09	11	100%	0.03
Jason Kidd	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	77%	0.05	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Rodney Buford	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	13	38%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kaniel Dickens	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Collins	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.05	0.03	8	43%	-0.12	1	-0.03	7	0%	-0.11

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.03	0.06	11	91%	0.18	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.02	0.03	5	100%	0.13	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.02	-0.00	10	77%	0.15	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.03	8	70%	0.12	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	6	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.05	0.00	10	55%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Loren Woods	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	3	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.04
Chris Bosh	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	7	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.7	26.3	16.4	27.3	1.8	31.0	131.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +33.0%

TOR +11.1%

TOR +0.2%

TOR +8.1%

NJN -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	TOR	NBA	NJN	TOR	NBA
this game	16.5	16.2	15.5	112.5	125.0	104.0
season	16.0	15.1		99.2	104.8
opponent	15.4	15.6		106.8	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.7	17.2	15.7	15.6	16.5
TOR	17.4	16.3	15.6	15.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nenad Krstic	48	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-11	11	18.2	14.5	3.71	16.4	16.0	0.43
Kaniel Dickens	32	30	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	15.7	16.9	-1.23	15.8	16.4	-0.65
Jason Kidd	56	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.15	-4	-7	3	15.9	17.6	-1.72	17.2	14.6	2.59
Jacque Vaughn	50	52	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	-4	-3	16.3	16.7	-0.37	15.2	17.7	-2.48
Jason Collins	56	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.15	-7	-4	-3	15.6	18.0	-2.41	16.7	15.4	1.35
Brian Scalabrine	42	44	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.06	-12	1	-13	16.2	16.7	-0.50	15.7	16.8	-1.14
Rodney Buford	70	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	0	-11	17.1	14.1	3.00	16.2	16.3	-0.05
Richard Jefferson	86	87	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.21	-8	-3	-5	16.5	14.5	2.05	16.2	15.0	1.24

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Bonner	44	45	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.02	20	-9	29	14.7	17.8	-3.14	16.1	16.9	-0.84
Donyell Marshall	56	55	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.12	14	-3	17	15.3	17.8	-2.44	16.3	16.8	-0.51
Morris Peterson	68	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	1	9	16.2	16.1	0.10	16.2	17.5	-1.24
Jalen Rose	54	53	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	0	11	16.0	16.6	-0.59	17.7	14.7	2.92
Lamond Murray	35	34	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	4	3	15.6	16.7	-1.09	16.9	16.3	0.62
Rafer Alston	67	69	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	6	-1	16.7	14.8	1.86	15.9	18.7	-2.85
Milt Palacio	40	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	11	-11	16.3	16.1	0.18	16.2	16.8	-0.62
Loren Woods	32	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.05	-3	14	-17	17.8	15.3	2.44	16.8	16.3	0.51
Chris Bosh	44	43	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	20	-29	17.8	14.7	3.14	16.9	16.1	0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, NOH 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.81,0.7,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.97,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
TOR 83, CLE 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.78,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1	94.4%
SAS 76, PHX 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%