NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	106		Excitement	4.9 [879]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +15.3%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	1.3 [1038]		LVP	Keith Bogans (CHA): -16.4%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.01	-0.06	14	52%	0.08	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	58%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Steven Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	55%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	13	55%	-0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Jason Kapono	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	0.03	11	32%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	19	37%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.02	0.07	17	39%	-0.15	1	-0.01	4	100%	-0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.03	-0.05	17	59%	0.16	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	20	69%	0.17	5	-0.08	12	83%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.00	0.06	12	77%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	77%	0.06	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maciej Lampe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	57%	0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	12	37%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	26.1	14.7	23.2	2.3	26.3	120.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +63.8%

PHX +5.2%

CHA -10.2%

CHA -10.3%

PHX +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	PHX	NBA	CHA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.3	12.9	15.5	108.2	116.2	104.0
season	15.5	13.5		99.0	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.1		106.2	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.3	18.3	16.0	14.7	16.3
PHX	13.2	12.2	12.8	13.6	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	23	24	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-8	7	16.9	16.1	0.79	11.0	13.6	-2.63
Tamar Slay	39	40	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.34	6	-15	21	15.5	16.8	-1.28	13.3	12.7	0.63
Emeka Okafor	67	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-1	-7	16.9	15.0	1.91	13.3	12.2	1.13
Kareem Rush	57	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	1	-11	16.0	16.7	-0.73	12.9	13.0	-0.05
Melvin Ely	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-8	7	15.9	16.6	-0.65	12.6	13.2	-0.59
Jason Kapono	58	60	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-6	3	15.7	17.1	-1.43	13.3	12.4	0.85
Keith Bogans	78	79	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.22	-6	-3	-3	16.5	15.6	0.82	12.8	13.6	-0.82
Primoz Brezec	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	-2	-5	16.8	15.3	1.47	12.7	13.5	-0.80
Brevin Knight	62	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.02	-15	6	-21	16.3	16.4	-0.13	13.5	12.0	1.47

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	71	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-7	23	12.9	13.0	-0.07	15.9	17.2	-1.27
Quentin Richardson	76	75	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.08	15	-6	21	12.7	13.7	-1.03	16.4	15.9	0.57
Steve Nash	74	76	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-3	15	13.1	12.4	0.74	16.2	16.8	-0.66
Joe Johnson	81	81	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.21	7	2	5	13.3	11.5	1.77	16.1	17.2	-1.12
Amar'e Stoudemire	87	88	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	5	-1	12.9	13.6	-0.72	16.7	13.2	3.46
Steven Hunter	34	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.02	4	5	-1	12.9	13.0	-0.15	16.2	16.4	-0.21
Casey Jacobsen	31	29	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	10	-11	13.1	12.9	0.17	15.8	16.5	-0.68
Bo Outlaw	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	9	-9	11.5	13.1	-1.58	17.1	16.2	0.89
Leandro Barbosa	27	25	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	15	-21	12.4	13.1	-0.69	17.3	16.0	1.31
Maciej Lampe	6	7	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.14	-6	15	-21	15.0	12.8	2.18	16.1	16.3	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.6,0.72,0.73,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.91,0.98,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
DAL 88, LAC 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
POR 96, SAS 110	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%