NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	84		Excitement	6.4 [580]		MVP	Damon Jones (MIA): +12.6%
Miami Heat	92		Comeback	1.9 [809]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -17.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	12	54%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Antonio Burks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	17	47%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	6	43%	-0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.06	0.03	10	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.03	16	33%	-0.12	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.18	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	15	37%	-0.10	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	-0.00	0.02	7	107%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	92%	0.07	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	13	68%	0.17	4	-0.14	12	83%	0.02
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	65%	0.11	3	-0.10	9	67%	-0.01
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	6	54%	0.02	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.02	-0.04	14	18%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	29.5	15.8	25.2	2.4	33.7	133.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +69.4%

MIA +7.6%

MEM -19.8%

MEM -7.0%

MEM -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	MIA	NBA	MEM	MIA	NBA
this game	16.8	16.5	15.5	96.6	107.0	104.0
season	16.4	15.7		103.7	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		101.1	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	20.0	18.0	15.7	14.2	16.8
MIA	15.2	16.3	15.6	18.5	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	39	40	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-11	14	17.6	16.2	1.45	16.6	16.3	0.32
Bonzi Wells	17	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-9	10	15.9	17.1	-1.19	18.2	16.0	2.15
Jake Tsakalidis	12	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	-1	-6	20.8	16.2	4.63	16.7	16.4	0.31
Stromile Swift	28	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-8	8	16.8	16.8	-0.03	18.0	15.6	2.39
Earl Watson	63	63	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-5	2	16.7	17.1	-0.34	16.2	17.1	-0.92
Antonio Burks	24	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-3	-2	17.1	16.7	0.34	17.1	16.2	0.92
Lorenzen Wright	66	64	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.15	-4	-4	0	16.1	19.0	-2.91	16.3	16.9	-0.61
Pau Gasol	68	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-3	-2	16.8	16.9	-0.07	15.9	18.6	-2.73
Mike Miller	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	1	-10	17.1	15.9	1.19	16.0	18.2	-2.15
James Posey	48	46	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.22	-11	3	-14	16.2	17.6	-1.45	16.3	16.6	-0.32

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwyane Wade	76	78	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.15	12	-4	16	16.5	15.8	0.74	17.1	14.9	2.18
Christian Laettner	34	35	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.09	14	-6	20	16.8	16.2	0.56	17.4	16.5	0.94
Damon Jones	67	69	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	-1	10	16.1	17.7	-1.65	17.0	16.1	0.99
Shaquille O'Neal	63	65	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	2	4	16.0	17.7	-1.76	17.3	15.4	1.91
Eddie Jones	70	72	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.20	6	2	4	15.9	19.1	-3.21	16.9	16.7	0.13
Rasual Butler	26	24	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	10	-12	17.8	15.9	1.94	16.0	17.1	-1.10
Michael Doleac	23	22	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.04	2	6	-4	17.7	16.0	1.76	15.4	17.3	-1.91
Keyon Dooling	19	18	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	9	-10	17.7	16.1	1.65	16.1	17.0	-0.99
Udonis Haslem	52	52	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	14	-20	16.2	16.8	-0.56	16.5	17.4	-0.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.52,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 76, CLE 84	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.66,0.56,0.61,0.7,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.46,0.58,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,1	92.6%
NOH 85, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.9,0.96,1,1,1	92.5%
GSW 107, POR 129	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.55,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.74,0.91,0.87,0.93,1,1,1,1	92.3%